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La Liga

Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano

Osasuna

U S S U T

1–0

Full-time

Valencia

S T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Osasuna Valencia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

1,0

2,0

Scored

0,0

1,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,83 xG 0,41

56% Possession 44%

16 Shots 4

4 Shots on target 1

6 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Osasuna 17. · Valencia 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.7	6
2	Betis	2	1	1	0	+1	+2.0	4
3	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.9	3
4	Getafe	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
5	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.5	3
6	Ath Bilbao	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.9	3
7	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
8	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.3	3
9	Alaves	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.4	3
10	Elche	2	0	2	0	+0	-2.4	2
11	Valencia	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
12	Sociedad	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
13	Ath Madrid	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.0	1
14	Celta	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.6	1
15	Mallorca	2	0	1	1	-3	-2.0	1
16	Sevilla	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.9	0
17	Osasuna	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.3	0
18	Levante	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.2	0
19	Girona	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.9	0
20	Oviedo	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.5	3
2	Ath Bilbao	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.9	3
3	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
4	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
5	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.3	3
6	Betis	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
7	Valencia	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
8	Ath Madrid	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
9	Elche	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
10	Mallorca	2	0	1	1	-3	-2.0	1
11	Levante	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
12	Girona	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.9	0
13	Celta	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.7	6
2	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.9	3
3	Getafe	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
4	Sociedad	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
5	Celta	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
6	Elche	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
7	Betis	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
8	Sevilla	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.9	0
9	Levante	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
10	Ath Madrid	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
11	Osasuna	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.3	0
12	Alaves	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
13	Oviedo	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.