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Eredivisie

Referee: D Higler

Heerenveen

T S T U T

1–2

Full-time

Twente

T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen Twente

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,3

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

1,8

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,5

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

2,5

1,5

Scored

1,0

0,0

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,39 xG 2,01

55% Possession 45%

18 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 5

9 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 4

3 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 19

3 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heerenveen 14. · Twente 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+9	+2.5	9
2	Nijmegen	2	2	0	0	+8	+3.2	6
3	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+3	+3.6	6
4	Zwolle	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.2	6
5	Sparta Rotterdam	3	2	0	1	-1	-1.3	6
6	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.0	4
7	Ajax	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.5	4
8	Utrecht	2	1	0	1	+3	+1.4	3
9	Volendam	3	0	3	0	+0	-3.0	3
10	NAC Breda	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.9	3
11	Groningen	3	1	0	2	-4	-2.6	3
12	Go Ahead Eagles	3	0	2	1	-3	-1.4	2
13	For Sittard	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.2	1
14	Heerenveen	2	0	1	1	-1	+2.1	1
15	Telstar	3	0	1	2	-4	-0.6	1
16	Twente	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.5	0
17	Excelsior	2	0	0	2	-6	-2.9	0
18	Heracles	2	0	0	2	-7	-3.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+7	+1.7	6
2	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+5	+1.4	3
3	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.5	3
4	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.1	3
5	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.4	3
6	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.2	3
7	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.4	3
8	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
9	NAC Breda	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.3	3
10	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
11	For Sittard	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
12	Volendam	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.9	1
13	Heerenveen	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
14	Telstar	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.1	1
15	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	1	1	-3	-0.2	1
16	Excelsior	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.4	0
17	Twente	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
18	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.7	3
2	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
3	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.5	3
4	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.4	3
5	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.4	3
6	Volendam	2	0	2	0	+0	-2.1	2
7	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
8	Ajax	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
9	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.9	1
10	Heerenveen	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.4	0
11	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
12	For Sittard	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.3	0
13	Twente	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
14	Telstar	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.4	0
15	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.2	0
16	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.5	0
17	Groningen	2	0	0	2	-5	-1.2	0
18	Excelsior	1	0	0	1	-5	-1.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.