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Super League
Referee: Vassilis Fotias
PAOK
T S U S T
1–0
Full-time
Larisa
S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK Larisa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
1,7
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

67% Possession 33%
19 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

3. Jan -21 Larisa – PAOK 1–1 11. Sep -20 PAOK – Larisa 1–0 15. Feb -20 Larisa – PAOK 1–2 24. Nov -19 PAOK – Larisa 1–0

Match report

PAOK Larisa
22′
🔁 B. Kovacevic
↦ A. Kossonou
Half-time 0–0
K. Despodov 🔁
↦ D. Chatsidis
46′
1–0 K. Despodov ⚽
A. Zivkovic
47′
G. Giakoumakis 🔁
↦ F. Chalov
69′
72′
🔁 G. Pasas
↦ P. Staikos
74′
🟨 Savvas Mourgos
M. Camara 🔁
↦ M. Ozdoev
77′
Taison 🔁
↦ A. Zivkovic
78′
80′
🔁 Z. Chatzistravos
↦ S. Mourgos
80′
🔁 V. Sourlis
↦ J. Atanasov
84′
🟨 Soufiane Chakla
L. Ivanusec 🔁
↦ G. Konstantelias
85′
Giorgos Giakoumakis 🟨
95′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

PAOK

4-2-3-1
1 J. Pavlenka G
23 J. Sastre D
6 D. Lovren D
5 G. Michailidis D
32 G. Taylor D
27 M. Ozdoev M
8 S. Meite M
52 D. Chatsidis M
65 G. Konstantelias M
14 A. Zivkovic M
9 F. Chalov F
Bench (12)
88 L. Gugeshashvili
21 A. R. Baba
3 J. Kenny
16 T. Kedziora
25 K. Thymianis
2 M. Camara
10 D. Pelkas
11 Taison
7 G. Giakoumakis
18 L. Ivanusec
56 A. Mythou
77 K. Despodov

Coach: Răzvan Lucescu

Larisa

4-4-2
1 N. Melissas G
64 P. Deligiannidis D
6 E. Pantelakis D
44 S. Chakla D
12 A. Kossonou D
11 S. Mourgos M
26 P. Staikos M
31 J. Atanasov M
77 C. Giousis M
8 F. Perez F
29 L. Tupta F
Bench (12)
21 T. Venetikidis
5 P. Bagalianis
63 B. Kovacevic
22 A. Papageorgiou
10 L. Andrada
2 K. Apostolakis
18 Z. Chatzistravos
19 G. Pasas
90 V. Sourlis
73 V. Varsamis
23 L. Garate
25 A. Sagal

Coach: Giorgos Petrakis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,24
🔒
U
5,48
🔒
B
10,19
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
1,57
🔒
U2,5 ✓
2,27
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Vassilis Fotias · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.