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Ligue 1
Referee: R Buquet
Paris SG
S T S S S
0–2
Full-time
Monaco
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Monaco
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 83%
83%
83%
Points per game
2,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
3,0
4,3
Scored
2,3
2,7
Conceded
0,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+1,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 64%
68%
60%
Points per game
2,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
60%
84%
Both score Ø 50%
28%
72%
Average goals
2,9
3,6
Scored
2,3
2,1
Conceded
0,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

74% Possession 26%
10 Shots 5
1 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 2
12 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Paris SG 3. · Monaco 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lille 26 17 7 2 +30 58
2 Lyon 26 16 7 3 +30 55
3 Paris SG 25 17 3 5 +42 54
4 Monaco 25 15 4 6 +15 49
5 Lens 26 11 7 8 +2 40
6 Metz 26 10 8 8 +6 38
7 Marseille 25 10 8 7 +4 38
8 Rennes 25 10 8 7 +4 38
9 Montpellier 26 11 5 10 -3 38
10 Angers 26 10 5 11 -10 35
11 Bordeaux 26 9 6 11 -4 33
12 Brest 26 9 4 13 -8 31
13 Reims 26 7 9 10 -2 30
14 St Etienne 26 7 9 10 -11 30
15 Strasbourg 26 8 5 13 -6 29
16 Nice 26 8 5 13 -7 29
17 Nantes 26 4 11 11 -15 23
18 Lorient 25 6 5 14 -18 23
19 Nimes 25 6 3 16 -27 21
20 Dijon 26 2 9 15 -22 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Paris SG Monaco
6′
S. Diop 0–1
R. Aguilar
15′
🟨 Aurélien Tchouaméni
Idrissa Gueye 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–1
Presnel Kimpembe 🟨
50′
51′
G. Maripán 0–2
M. Verratti 🔁
↦ Ander Herrera
55′
Rafinha 🔁
↦ I. Gueye
55′
Leandro Paredes 🟨
57′
71′
🔁 S. Jovetić
↦ W. Ben Yedder
Danilo Pereira 🔁
↦ L. Paredes
73′
J. Draxler 🔁
↦ M. Icardi
73′
80′
🔁 D. Sidibé
↦ R. Aguilar
80′
🔁 A. Golovin
↦ S. Diop
Kylian Mbappé 🟨
90′
90′
🔁 F. Ballo
↦ K. Volland
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Paris SG

4-3-3
1 K. Navas G
20 L. Kurzawa D
5 Marquinhos D
24 A. Florenzi D
3 P. Kimpembe D
21 Ander Herrera M
27 I. Gueye M
8 L. Paredes M
9 M. Icardi F
7 K. Mbappé F
18 M. Kean F
Bench (9)
6 M. Verratti
12 Rafinha
15 Danilo Pereira
23 J. Draxler
25 M. Bakker
16 Sergio Rico
34 X. Simons
4 T. Kehrer
22 A. Diallo

Coach: M. Pochettino

Monaco

3-4-2-1
40 B. Lecomte G
26 R. Aguilar M
3 G. Maripán D
20 A. Disasi D
12 Caio Henrique M
32 B. Badiashile D
8 A. Tchouaméni M
22 Y. Fofana M
37 S. Diop F
31 K. Volland F
9 W. Ben Yedder F
Bench (9)
10 S. Jovetić
29 D. Sidibé
17 A. Golovin
2 F. Ballo
30 V. Mannone
27 K. Diatta
4 Fàbregas
34 C. Matsima
36 E. Matazo

Coach: N. Kovač

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,62
U
4,32
B ✓
4,95
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,41
U2,5 ✓
2,83
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Buquet · 155 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.