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Ligue 1

Referee: J Pignard

Paris SG

S S T S S

2–1

Full-time

Nice

T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Nice

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,2

Scored

2,5

1,0

Conceded

0,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 24/23 matches

Win Ø 51%

67%

35%

Points per game

2,1

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

58%

57%

Both score Ø 37%

25%

48%

Average goals

2,9

2,5

Scored

2,3

1,2

Conceded

0,6

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%

17 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 1

1 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 6

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paris SG 3. · Nice 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	24	16	6	2	+27	54
2	Lyon	24	15	7	2	+30	52
3	Paris SG	24	16	3	5	+41	51
4	Monaco	24	15	3	6	+15	48
5	Rennes	23	10	8	5	+7	38
6	Lens	24	10	6	8	+1	36
7	Metz	24	9	8	7	+6	35
8	Angers	24	10	4	10	-8	34
9	Marseille	22	9	6	7	+3	33
10	Bordeaux	24	9	5	10	-2	32
11	Montpellier	24	9	5	10	-5	32
12	Brest	24	9	3	12	-7	30
13	Nice	23	8	5	10	-4	29
14	Reims	24	7	7	10	-2	28
15	St Etienne	24	6	8	10	-13	26
16	Strasbourg	24	7	4	13	-7	25
17	Lorient	23	6	4	13	-15	22
18	Nantes	24	3	10	11	-17	19
19	Dijon	24	2	9	13	-19	15
20	Nimes	23	4	3	16	-31	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	12	9	1	2	+27	28
2	Lyon	12	8	3	1	+17	27
3	Lille	12	8	3	1	+14	27
4	Monaco	12	8	3	1	+13	27
5	Brest	12	7	1	4	+3	22
6	Metz	12	5	4	3	+4	19
7	Rennes	12	5	3	4	+0	18
8	Bordeaux	12	5	3	4	+0	18
9	Lens	12	4	4	4	+0	16
10	Angers	11	5	1	5	-2	16
11	Montpellier	13	5	1	7	-3	16
12	Lorient	12	5	1	6	-3	16
13	Marseille	11	4	3	4	+1	15
14	Reims	11	4	3	4	-1	15
15	St Etienne	12	3	5	4	-6	14
16	Strasbourg	12	3	3	6	-3	12
17	Nantes	12	2	6	4	-7	12
18	Nice	12	3	2	7	-9	11
19	Dijon	12	0	6	6	-8	6
20	Nimes	11	1	1	9	-15	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	12	8	3	1	+13	27
2	Lyon	12	7	4	1	+13	25
3	Paris SG	12	7	2	3	+14	23
4	Monaco	12	7	0	5	+2	21
5	Rennes	11	5	5	1	+7	20
6	Lens	12	6	2	4	+1	20
7	Nice	11	5	3	3	+5	18
8	Marseille	11	5	3	3	+2	18
9	Angers	13	5	3	5	-6	18
10	Metz	12	4	4	4	+2	16
11	Montpellier	11	4	4	3	-2	16
12	Bordeaux	12	4	2	6	-2	14
13	Reims	13	3	4	6	-1	13
14	Strasbourg	12	4	1	7	-4	13
15	St Etienne	12	3	3	6	-7	12
16	Nimes	12	3	2	7	-16	11
17	Dijon	12	2	3	7	-11	9
18	Brest	12	2	2	8	-10	8
19	Nantes	12	1	4	7	-10	7
20	Lorient	11	1	3	7	-12	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.