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Eredivisie
Referee: C Bax
Waalwijk
T T U U S
3–0
Full-time
Heracles
S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waalwijk Heracles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,0
1,8
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 27%
18%
36%
Points per game
0,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
36%
45%
Both score Ø 46%
55%
36%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
1,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

42% Possession 58%
8 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 0
2 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Waalwijk 15. · Heracles 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 21 17 2 2 +53 53
2 PSV Eindhoven 22 14 5 3 +27 47
3 AZ Alkmaar 23 13 7 3 +19 46
4 Vitesse 22 13 3 6 +13 42
5 Feyenoord 20 12 4 4 +22 40
6 Groningen 20 11 3 6 +6 36
7 Twente 23 9 7 7 +7 34
8 Utrecht 20 8 8 4 +8 32
9 For Sittard 23 9 4 10 -6 31
10 Heerenveen 22 7 8 7 +0 29
11 Heracles 22 8 4 10 -8 28
12 Zwolle 23 4 11 8 -9 23
13 Sparta Rotterdam 20 6 4 10 -4 22
14 VVV Venlo 22 6 4 12 -20 22
15 Waalwijk 22 4 7 11 -16 19
16 Willem II 22 3 4 15 -29 13
17 Den Haag 22 2 7 13 -30 13
18 FC Emmen 23 1 6 16 -33 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waalwijk Heracles
1–0 O. John
L. Daneels
11′
2–0 L. Daneels
T. Oosting
23′
Ahmed Touba 🟨
35′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 N. Fadiga
↦ T. Breukers
46′
🔁 S. Bakış
↦ D. Burgzorg
61′
🔁 A. Szőke
↦ A. Kutucu
A. Azhil 🔁
↦ O. John
67′
F. Stokkers 🔁
↦ T. Oosting
67′
70′
🟨 Rai Vloet
3–0 R. van der Venne
V. Anita
75′
S. Sow 🔁
↦ R. van der Venne
76′
T. Lutonda 🔁
↦ L. Daneels
76′
82′
🔁 O. Kiomourtzoglou
↦ L. Schoofs
82′
🔁 K. Jakobsen
↦ R. Vloet
88′
🟨 Noah Fadiga
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Waalwijk

4-3-3
31 K. Lamprou G
5 P. Quasten D
59 A. Touba D
3 M. Meulensteen D
4 V. Anita M
10 R. van der Venne M
8 A. Tahiri M
25 T. Oosting F
11 O. John F
21 L. Daneels F
28 S. Bakari D
Bench (11)
16 A. Azhil
9 F. Stokkers
19 S. Sow
20 T. Lutonda
15 L. Nieuwpoort
12 H. Mulder
27 D. Min
22 M. Grim
2 J. Gaari
1 E. Vaessen
7 C. Ngonge

Coach: F. Grim

Heracles

4-3-3
1 J. Blaswich G
2 T. Breukers D
4 R. Pröpper D
34 J. Hardeveld D
13 M. Knoester D
10 R. Vloet M
15 L. Schoofs M
8 T. Bijleveld M
14 L. de la Torre F
25 A. Kutucu F
37 D. Burgzorg F
Bench (10)
23 N. Fadiga
9 S. Bakış
17 A. Szőke
6 O. Kiomourtzoglou
20 K. Jakobsen
16 M. Brouwer
26 K. Bucker
22 M. Leš
5 M. Rente
31 R. Agca

Coach: F. Wormuth

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,12
U
3,54
B
2,18
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,85
U2,5
1,95
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.