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Premier League
Referee: C Pawson
West Ham
S T S U S
2–1
Full-time
Tottenham
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

West Ham Tottenham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,5
This season — Premier League · 24/23 matches
Win Ø 47%
50%
43%
Points per game
1,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
63%
39%
Both score Ø 51%
54%
48%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,6
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

30% Possession 70%
4 Shots 20
4 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 7
1 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 7
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match West Ham 5. · Tottenham 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 24 17 5 2 +34 56
2 Man United 24 13 7 4 +19 46
3 Leicester 24 14 4 6 +16 46
4 Chelsea 25 12 7 6 +16 43
5 West Ham 24 12 6 6 +9 42
6 Liverpool 25 11 7 7 +11 40
7 Everton 24 12 4 8 +4 40
8 Aston Villa 22 11 3 8 +12 36
9 Tottenham 23 10 6 7 +11 36
10 Arsenal 24 10 4 10 +6 34
11 Wolves 25 9 6 10 -6 33
12 Leeds 24 10 2 12 -3 32
13 Southampton 24 8 6 10 -9 30
14 Crystal Palace 24 8 5 11 -15 29
15 Burnley 25 7 7 11 -12 28
16 Brighton 24 5 11 8 -5 26
17 Newcastle 24 7 4 13 -15 25
18 Fulham 25 4 10 11 -11 22
19 West Brom 25 2 8 15 -36 14
20 Sheffield United 25 3 2 20 -26 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

West Ham Tottenham
1–0 M. Antonio
5′
36′
🟨 Érik Lamela
42′
🟨 Pierre-Emile Højbjerg
44′
🟨 Sergio Reguilón
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 G. Bale
↦ E. Lamela
46′
🔁 M. Doherty
↦ J. Tanganga
Jesse Lingard ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
47′
2–0 J. Lingard
Pablo Fornals
47′
Tomáš Souček 🟨
56′
Issa Diop 🟨
62′
64′
Lucas Moura 2–1
G. Bale
S. Benrahma 🔁
↦ J. Bowen
65′
Michail Antonio 🟨
69′
Pablo Fornals 🟨
72′
77′
🔁 D. Alli
↦ Reguilón
B. Johnson 🔁
↦ Pablo Fornals
81′
M. Noble 🔁
↦ J. Lingard
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

West Ham

4-2-3-1
1 Ł. Fabiański G
3 A. Cresswell D
15 C. Dawson D
5 V. Coufal D
23 I. Diop D
30 M. Antonio F
11 J. Lingard M
28 T. Souček M
41 D. Rice M
18 Pablo Fornals M
20 J. Bowen M
Bench (9)
9 S. Benrahma
31 B. Johnson
16 M. Noble
4 F. Balbuena
25 D. Martin
35 D. Randolph
10 M. Lanzini
45 A. Odubeko
14 F. Alves

Coach: D. Moyes

Tottenham

4-2-3-1
1 H. Lloris G
6 D. Sánchez D
3 Reguilón D
25 J. Tanganga D
11 E. Lamela M
27 Lucas Moura M
5 P. Højbjerg M
15 E. Dier D
28 T. Ndombèlé M
7 Son Heung-Min M
10 H. Kane F
Bench (9)
9 G. Bale
2 M. Doherty
20 D. Alli
8 H. Winks
33 B. Davies
17 M. Sissoko
4 T. Alderweireld
12 J. Hart
45 Carlos Vinícius

Coach: José Mourinho

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,64
U
3,33
B
2,73
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,98
U2,5
1,84
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Pawson · 173 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.