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Ligue 1

Referee: J Brisard

Lille

S S S U S

1–1

Full-time

Strasbourg

T U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille Strasbourg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,2

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

0,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 48%

65%

31%

Points per game

2,2

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

42%

54%

Both score Ø 42%

46%

38%

Average goals

2,4

2,8

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

0,6

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,2

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

68% Possession 32%

14 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

9 Corners 2

0 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lille 1. · Strasbourg 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	26	17	7	2	+30	58
2	Paris SG	27	18	3	6	+44	57
3	Lyon	26	16	7	3	+30	55
4	Monaco	27	17	4	6	+19	55
5	Metz	27	11	8	8	+7	41
6	Lens	27	11	8	8	+2	41
7	Montpellier	27	11	6	10	-3	39
8	Marseille	25	10	8	7	+4	38
9	Rennes	26	10	8	8	+3	38
10	Angers	27	10	6	11	-10	36
11	Bordeaux	27	9	6	12	-5	33
12	Nice	27	9	5	13	-6	32
13	Reims	27	7	10	10	-2	31
14	Brest	27	9	4	14	-10	31
15	St Etienne	27	7	9	11	-12	30
16	Strasbourg	26	8	5	13	-6	29
17	Lorient	27	7	5	15	-18	26
18	Nimes	27	7	4	16	-26	25
19	Nantes	27	4	12	11	-15	24
20	Dijon	27	2	9	16	-26	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	14	10	1	3	+26	31
2	Monaco	14	9	4	1	+15	31
3	Lille	13	8	4	1	+14	28
4	Lyon	13	8	3	2	+16	27
5	Brest	13	7	1	5	+2	22
6	Metz	13	5	4	4	+3	19
7	Lens	13	5	4	4	+1	19
8	Bordeaux	14	5	4	5	-1	19
9	Montpellier	14	6	1	7	-2	19
10	Lorient	14	6	1	7	-5	19
11	Marseille	12	5	3	4	+2	18
12	Rennes	14	5	3	6	-3	18
13	Reims	13	4	5	4	-1	17
14	Angers	13	5	2	6	-4	17
15	St Etienne	13	3	6	4	-6	15
16	Strasbourg	13	3	4	6	-3	13
17	Nantes	13	2	7	4	-7	13
18	Nice	13	3	2	8	-10	11
19	Nimes	14	3	2	9	-12	11
20	Dijon	14	0	6	8	-14	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	13	9	3	1	+16	30
2	Lyon	13	8	4	1	+14	28
3	Paris SG	13	8	2	3	+18	26
4	Monaco	13	8	0	5	+4	24
5	Metz	14	6	4	4	+4	22
6	Lens	14	6	4	4	+1	22
7	Nice	14	6	3	5	+4	21
8	Rennes	12	5	5	2	+6	20
9	Marseille	13	5	5	3	+2	20
10	Montpellier	13	5	5	3	-1	20
11	Angers	14	5	4	5	-6	19
12	Strasbourg	13	5	1	7	-3	16
13	St Etienne	14	4	3	7	-6	15
14	Reims	14	3	5	6	-1	14
15	Bordeaux	13	4	2	7	-4	14
16	Nimes	13	4	2	7	-14	14
17	Nantes	14	2	5	7	-8	11
18	Dijon	13	2	3	8	-12	9
19	Brest	14	2	3	9	-12	9
20	Lorient	13	1	4	8	-13	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.