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Süper Lig
Referee: Yasar Kemal Ugurlu
Trabzonspor
S S S S S
0–1
Full-time
Fenerbahce
S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Trabzonspor Fenerbahce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
0,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,7
This season — Süper Lig · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 60%
56%
64%
Points per game
1,9
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
36%
68%
Both score Ø 54%
52%
56%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,9
Conceded
1,0
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
16 Shots 12
1 Shots on target 8
7 Blocked shots 1
7 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 7
0 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Trabzonspor 4. · Fenerbahce 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Galatasaray 26 18 3 5 +33 57
2 Besiktas 25 17 3 5 +30 54
3 Fenerbahce 25 16 3 6 +20 51
4 Trabzonspor 25 14 6 5 +8 48
5 Hatayspor 26 13 6 7 +15 45
6 Alanyaspor 26 12 6 8 +14 42
7 Gaziantep 26 10 10 6 +8 40
8 Karagumruk 26 11 7 8 +7 40
9 Goztep 26 9 8 9 +5 35
10 Antalyaspor 26 7 13 6 -5 34
11 Sivasspor 25 7 11 7 -1 32
12 Konyaspor 25 8 7 10 +2 31
13 Yeni Malatyaspor 26 7 10 9 -2 31
14 Kasimpasa 26 8 5 13 -12 29
15 Rizespor 26 6 10 10 -12 28
16 Kayserispor 25 6 7 12 -13 25
17 Buyuksehyr 26 6 7 13 -16 25
18 Erzurumspor 26 6 7 13 -17 25
19 Denizlispor 26 5 6 15 -23 21
20 Genclerbirligi 25 5 6 14 -25 21
21 Ankaragücü 25 5 5 15 -16 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Trabzonspor Fenerbahce
Caleb Ekuban 🟨
7′
Half-time 0–0
56′
🟨 Mert Hakan Yandaş
66′
🔁 E. Valencia
↦ M. Thiam
66′
🔁 M. Samatta
↦ M. Özil
72′
🟨 Serdar Aziz
74′
🔁 F. Kadıoğlu
↦ B. Osayi-Samuel
74′
🔁 O. Tufan
↦ M. Yandaş
Y. Sarı 🔁
↦ C. Ekuban
75′
76′
D. Pelkas 0–1
F. Kadıoğlu
Y. Mallı 🔁
↦ S. Asan
79′
A. Parmak 🔁
↦ Marlon Xavier
86′
B. Afobe 🔁
↦ Flavio
86′
86′
🔁 F. Novák
↦ D. Pelkas
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Trabzonspor

4-2-3-1
1 U. Çakır G
13 Vitor Hugo D
32 Edgar Ié D
3 Marlon Xavier D
99 S. Asan D
24 Flavio M
2 B. Özdemir M
9 A. Nwakaeme M
11 A. Bakasetas M
21 Djaniny F
18 C. Ekuban M
Bench (10)
7 Y. Sarı
29 Y. Mallı
61 A. Parmak
79 B. Afobe
16 E. Kardeşler
4 H. Türkmen
75 F. Genç
5 M. Hosseini
8 L. Baker
39 A. Gündüz

Coach: A. Avcı

Fenerbahce

4-2-3-1
1 A. Bayındır G
4 S. Aziz D
77 G. Gönül D
26 M. Tisserand D
41 Attila Szalai D
67 M. Özil M
5 J. Sosa M
14 D. Pelkas M
8 M. Yandaş M
21 B. Osayi-Samuel M
27 M. Thiam F
Bench (10)
13 E. Valencia
10 M. Samatta
16 F. Kadıoğlu
7 O. Tufan
37 F. Novák
3 M. Lemos
35 N. Sangaré
15 H. Tekin
9 P. Cissé
29 S. Gümüş

Coach: E. Bulut

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,98
U
3,25
B ✓
2,35
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,97
U2,5 ✓
1,83
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Yasar Kemal Ugurlu · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.