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Ligue 1

Referee: S Frappart

Lorient

U S U T T

2–1

Full-time

St Etienne

S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lorient St Etienne

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,2

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 25%

23%

27%

Points per game

0,9

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

58%

38%

Both score Ø 50%

54%

46%

Average goals

3,1

2,4

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,9

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%

11 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lorient 19. · St Etienne 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	26	17	7	2	+30	58
2	Paris SG	27	18	3	6	+44	57
3	Lyon	26	16	7	3	+30	55
4	Monaco	27	17	4	6	+19	55
5	Metz	27	11	8	8	+7	41
6	Lens	26	11	7	8	+2	40
7	Marseille	25	10	8	7	+4	38
8	Rennes	26	10	8	8	+3	38
9	Montpellier	26	11	5	10	-3	38
10	Angers	26	10	5	11	-10	35
11	Bordeaux	27	9	6	12	-5	33
12	Nice	27	9	5	13	-6	32
13	Brest	27	9	4	14	-10	31
14	Reims	26	7	9	10	-2	30
15	St Etienne	26	7	9	10	-11	30
16	Strasbourg	26	8	5	13	-6	29
17	Nimes	26	7	3	16	-26	24
18	Nantes	26	4	11	11	-15	23
19	Lorient	26	6	5	15	-19	23
20	Dijon	27	2	9	16	-26	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	14	10	1	3	+26	31
2	Monaco	14	9	4	1	+15	31
3	Lille	13	8	4	1	+14	28
4	Lyon	13	8	3	2	+16	27
5	Brest	13	7	1	5	+2	22
6	Metz	13	5	4	4	+3	19
7	Lens	13	5	4	4	+1	19
8	Bordeaux	14	5	4	5	-1	19
9	Montpellier	14	6	1	7	-2	19
10	Marseille	12	5	3	4	+2	18
11	Rennes	14	5	3	6	-3	18
12	Reims	12	4	4	4	-1	16
13	Angers	12	5	1	6	-4	16
14	Lorient	13	5	1	7	-6	16
15	St Etienne	13	3	6	4	-6	15
16	Strasbourg	13	3	4	6	-3	13
17	Nantes	13	2	7	4	-7	13
18	Nice	13	3	2	8	-10	11
19	Nimes	13	3	1	9	-12	10
20	Dijon	14	0	6	8	-14	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	13	9	3	1	+16	30
2	Lyon	13	8	4	1	+14	28
3	Paris SG	13	8	2	3	+18	26
4	Monaco	13	8	0	5	+4	24
5	Metz	14	6	4	4	+4	22
6	Nice	14	6	3	5	+4	21
7	Lens	13	6	3	4	+1	21
8	Rennes	12	5	5	2	+6	20
9	Marseille	13	5	5	3	+2	20
10	Montpellier	12	5	4	3	-1	19
11	Angers	14	5	4	5	-6	19
12	Strasbourg	13	5	1	7	-3	16
13	St Etienne	13	4	3	6	-5	15
14	Reims	14	3	5	6	-1	14
15	Bordeaux	13	4	2	7	-4	14
16	Nimes	13	4	2	7	-14	14
17	Nantes	13	2	4	7	-8	10
18	Dijon	13	2	3	8	-12	9
19	Brest	14	2	3	9	-12	9
20	Lorient	13	1	4	8	-13	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.