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Ligue 1

Referee: F Letexier

Nice

T T S S U

3–0

Full-time

Marseille

U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nice Marseille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,7

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 38%

34%

41%

Points per game

1,2

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

62%

41%

Both score Ø 61%

59%

62%

Average goals

2,7

2,4

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,4

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%

17 Shots 7

7 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 5

2 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nice 12. · Marseille 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	29	18	9	2	+32	63
2	Paris SG	29	19	3	7	+44	60
3	Lyon	29	17	9	3	+31	60
4	Monaco	30	18	5	7	+22	59
5	Marseille	29	12	9	8	+5	45
6	Lens	29	12	9	8	+3	45
7	Rennes	30	12	8	10	+4	44
8	Metz	30	11	9	10	+4	42
9	Montpellier	29	11	8	10	-3	41
10	Angers	29	11	6	12	-10	39
11	Bordeaux	29	10	6	13	-4	36
12	Nice	29	10	6	13	-5	36
13	Reims	29	8	11	10	-1	35
14	Brest	29	10	4	15	-10	34
15	Strasbourg	29	9	6	14	-6	33
16	St Etienne	30	8	9	13	-16	33
17	Lorient	29	7	7	15	-18	28
18	Nantes	29	5	12	12	-15	27
19	Nimes	29	7	5	17	-27	26
20	Dijon	29	2	9	18	-30	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	15	9	5	1	+16	32
2	Monaco	15	9	5	1	+15	32
3	Paris SG	15	10	1	4	+25	31
4	Lyon	14	9	3	2	+17	30
5	Marseille	15	7	4	4	+5	25
6	Brest	14	8	1	5	+4	25
7	Rennes	15	6	3	6	-2	21
8	Lens	14	5	5	4	+1	20
9	Montpellier	15	6	2	7	-2	20
10	Lorient	15	6	2	7	-5	20
11	Metz	15	5	4	6	+0	19
12	Bordeaux	15	5	4	6	-2	19
13	Reims	14	4	6	4	-1	18
14	Angers	14	5	2	7	-5	17
15	Strasbourg	14	4	4	6	-2	16
16	St Etienne	15	3	6	6	-11	15
17	Nice	14	4	2	8	-9	14
18	Nantes	14	2	7	5	-8	13
19	Nimes	15	3	3	9	-12	12
20	Dijon	15	0	6	9	-16	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	14	9	4	1	+16	31
2	Lyon	15	8	6	1	+14	30
3	Paris SG	14	9	2	3	+19	29
4	Monaco	15	9	0	6	+7	27
5	Lens	15	7	4	4	+2	25
6	Rennes	15	6	5	4	+6	23
7	Metz	15	6	5	4	+4	23
8	Nice	15	6	4	5	+4	22
9	Angers	15	6	4	5	-5	22
10	Montpellier	14	5	6	3	-1	21
11	Marseille	14	5	5	4	+0	20
12	St Etienne	15	5	3	7	-5	18
13	Reims	15	4	5	6	+0	17
14	Bordeaux	14	5	2	7	-2	17
15	Strasbourg	15	5	2	8	-4	17
16	Nantes	15	3	5	7	-7	14
17	Nimes	14	4	2	8	-15	14
18	Dijon	14	2	3	9	-14	9
19	Brest	15	2	3	10	-14	9
20	Lorient	14	1	5	8	-13	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.