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Ligue 2

Pau FC

U T S S U

3–1

Full-time

Dunkerque

T U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pau FC Dunkerque

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,8

1,7

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

This season — Ligue 2 · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 26%

24%

28%

Points per game

1,0

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 35%

38%

31%

Both score Ø 36%

38%

34%

Average goals

2,2

1,9

Scored

0,9

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

11 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 3

7 Corners 4

8 Free kicks against 19

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Pau FC 18. · Dunkerque 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	30	17	7	6	+15	58
2	Clermont	28	16	7	5	+31	55
3	Toulouse	29	16	7	6	+24	55
4	Grenoble	29	15	8	6	+16	53
5	Paris FC	29	13	9	7	+9	48
6	Auxerre	29	12	10	7	+17	46
7	Sochaux	29	10	13	6	+12	43
8	Valenciennes	29	10	9	10	-3	39
9	Nancy	29	9	10	10	+3	37
10	Amiens	29	9	10	10	-1	37
11	Le Havre	29	9	10	10	-8	37
12	Rodez	29	8	12	9	-4	36
13	Ajaccio	30	9	8	13	-13	35
14	Caen	29	8	10	11	-9	34
15	Niort	29	8	10	11	-13	34
16	Dunkerque	29	8	7	14	-10	31
17	Guingamp	29	5	14	10	-10	29
18	Pau FC	29	7	7	15	-13	28
19	Chambly	30	6	9	15	-23	27
20	Chateauroux	29	4	7	18	-20	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	15	11	3	1	+11	36
2	Clermont	14	10	3	1	+22	33
3	Toulouse	15	10	3	2	+19	33
4	Grenoble	14	9	5	0	+17	32
5	Auxerre	15	8	4	3	+18	28
6	Paris FC	14	8	4	2	+7	28
7	Rodez	15	6	5	4	+3	23
8	Valenciennes	14	6	4	4	+3	22
9	Amiens	15	5	7	3	+3	22
10	Ajaccio	15	6	4	5	-2	22
11	Sochaux	15	5	6	4	+3	21
12	Caen	15	5	6	4	-3	21
13	Dunkerque	15	5	5	5	+3	20
14	Niort	14	5	5	4	+0	20
15	Pau FC	14	5	4	5	+0	19
16	Nancy	14	4	6	4	-1	18
17	Chambly	16	5	2	9	-9	17
18	Le Havre	14	3	7	4	-3	16
19	Guingamp	14	2	7	5	-7	13
20	Chateauroux	14	3	2	9	-8	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Clermont	14	6	4	4	+9	22
2	Sochaux	14	5	7	2	+9	22
3	Toulouse	14	6	4	4	+5	22
4	Troyes	15	6	4	5	+4	22
5	Grenoble	15	6	3	6	-1	21
6	Le Havre	15	6	3	6	-5	21
7	Paris FC	15	5	5	5	+2	20
8	Nancy	15	5	4	6	+4	19
9	Auxerre	14	4	6	4	-1	18
10	Valenciennes	15	4	5	6	-6	17
11	Guingamp	15	3	7	5	-3	16
12	Amiens	14	4	3	7	-4	15
13	Niort	15	3	5	7	-13	14
14	Caen	14	3	4	7	-6	13
15	Rodez	14	2	7	5	-7	13
16	Ajaccio	15	3	4	8	-11	13
17	Dunkerque	14	3	2	9	-13	11
18	Chambly	14	1	7	6	-14	10
19	Pau FC	15	2	3	10	-13	9
20	Chateauroux	15	1	5	9	-12	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.