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Primeira Liga

Referee: João Carlos Bento

Pacos Ferreira

T S T S T

3–0

Full-time

Moreirense

U T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pacos Ferreira Moreirense

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,2

2,3

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,3

This season — Primeira Liga · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 41%

52%

30%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 37%

39%

35%

Both score Ø 46%

48%

43%

Average goals

2,3

2,2

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,2

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

38% Possession 62%

14 Shots 9

8 Shots on target 0

2 Blocked shots 4

0 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 10

1 Offside 4

15 Free kicks against 6

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Pacos Ferreira 5. · Moreirense 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	23	19	4	0	+34	61
2	Porto	23	15	6	2	+27	51
3	Sp Braga	23	16	2	5	+21	50
4	Benfica	23	14	6	3	+23	48
5	Pacos Ferreira	23	12	5	6	+7	41
6	Guimaraes	23	10	5	8	+0	35
7	Santa Clara	23	9	4	10	+1	31
8	Moreirense	23	7	9	7	-4	30
9	Rio Ave	23	6	8	9	-7	26
10	Belenenses	23	5	10	8	-7	25
11	Gil Vicente	24	7	4	13	-9	25
12	Tondela	23	7	3	13	-16	24
13	Portimonense	23	6	5	12	-7	23
14	Boavista	23	4	9	10	-12	21
15	Nacional	24	5	6	13	-12	21
16	Maritimo	23	6	3	14	-12	21
17	Famalicao	23	4	8	11	-17	20
18	Farense	23	4	7	12	-10	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	11	9	2	0	+16	29
2	Benfica	12	9	2	1	+14	29
3	Sp Braga	11	9	1	1	+13	28
4	Porto	12	8	3	1	+14	27
5	Pacos Ferreira	11	8	2	1	+9	26
6	Tondela	12	7	2	3	+3	23
7	Portimonense	11	5	3	3	+6	18
8	Moreirense	12	3	7	2	-1	16
9	Guimaraes	12	5	1	6	-5	16
10	Rio Ave	11	4	3	4	+1	15
11	Santa Clara	11	4	2	5	+1	14
12	Gil Vicente	12	4	2	6	-2	14
13	Belenenses	12	3	5	4	-3	14
14	Farense	12	3	4	5	+0	13
15	Nacional	12	3	3	6	-4	12
16	Boavista	11	3	2	6	-6	11
17	Famalicao	12	1	6	5	-10	9
18	Maritimo	11	2	2	7	-9	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	12	10	2	0	+18	32
2	Porto	11	7	3	1	+13	24
3	Sp Braga	12	7	1	4	+8	22
4	Benfica	11	5	4	2	+9	19
5	Guimaraes	11	5	4	2	+5	19
6	Santa Clara	12	5	2	5	+0	17
7	Pacos Ferreira	12	4	3	5	-2	15
8	Moreirense	11	4	2	5	-3	14
9	Maritimo	12	4	1	7	-3	13
10	Belenenses	11	2	5	4	-4	11
11	Gil Vicente	12	3	2	7	-7	11
12	Famalicao	11	3	2	6	-7	11
13	Rio Ave	12	2	5	5	-8	11
14	Boavista	12	1	7	4	-6	10
15	Nacional	12	2	3	7	-8	9
16	Farense	11	1	3	7	-10	6
17	Portimonense	12	1	2	9	-13	5
18	Tondela	11	0	1	10	-19	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.