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Premiership
Referee: D Robertson
Hamilton
U T U U T
1–1
Full-time
St Mirren
U U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamilton St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,3
1,3
Scored
1,2
0,5
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
This season — Premiership · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 25%
19%
31%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
44%
34%
Both score Ø 44%
47%
41%
Average goals
2,8
2,1
Scored
0,9
0,9
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%
8 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 8
3 Offside 4
15 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hamilton 11. · St Mirren 7. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 32 28 4 0 +68 88
2 Celtic 32 20 8 4 +42 68
3 Hibernian 32 16 7 9 +13 55
4 Aberdeen 32 13 10 9 +2 49
5 Livingston 32 12 7 13 -1 43
6 ST Johnstone 33 10 10 13 -6 40
7 St Mirren 32 10 9 13 -8 39
8 Dundee United 32 8 12 12 -15 36
9 Motherwell 32 9 8 15 -16 35
10 Ross County 33 8 5 20 -33 29
11 Hamilton 32 6 8 18 -29 26
12 Kilmarnock 32 7 4 21 -17 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. Feb -21 St Mirren – Hamilton 1–1 15. Aug -20 Hamilton – St Mirren 0–1 5. Feb -20 St Mirren – Hamilton 1–1 7. Dec -19 Hamilton – St Mirren 0–1 21. Sep -19 St Mirren – Hamilton 0–0

Match report

Hamilton St Mirren
33′
⚽ J. McGrath 0–1
34′
🟨 Conor McCarthy
Half-time 0–1
D. Moyo 🔁
↦ B. Stirling
46′
56′
🔁 E. Erhahon
↦ K. McAllister
56′
🔁 D. Connolly
↦ L. Erwin
R. Hughes 🔁
↦ A. Martin
64′
K. Munro 🔁
↦ C. Smith
80′
88′
🔁 R. Flynn
↦ J. Obika
1–1 K. Munro ⚽
S. McMann
89′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Hamilton

3-4-1-2
23 R. Fulton G
5 B. Easton D
16 A. Martin D
27 L. Hodson M
3 S. McMann M
2 H. Odoffin M
4 B. Stirling D
34 R. Callachan F
8 S. Martin M
32 C. Smith F
7 B. Anderson F
Bench (9)
20 D. Moyo
15 R. Hughes
21 K. Munro
22 K. Gourlay
17 G. Stanger
41 R. Scully
26 M. Redfern
14 C. Trafford
18 R. Mimnaugh

Coach: B. Rice

St Mirren

3-5-2
1 J. Alnwick G
2 R. Tait M
4 J. Shaughnessy D
22 M. Fraser D
5 C. McCarthy D
11 Í. Durmuş M
17 J. McGrath M
7 J. Doyle-Hayes M
10 K. McAllister M
9 J. Obika F
23 L. Erwin F
Bench (9)
25 E. Erhahon
21 D. Connolly
8 R. Flynn
14 C. MacPherson
3 B. Mason
30 J. Henderson
19 D. Reid
26 D. Lyness
15 D. Finlayson

Coach: J. Goodwin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,30
🔒
U ✓
3,25
🔒
B
2,20
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
2,24
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,63
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Robertson · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.