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Ligue 1
Referee: A Delerue
Lyon
S T S U U
2–0
Full-time
Monaco
T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyon Monaco
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,7
2,2
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 39%
33%
44%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
56%
56%
Both score Ø 67%
78%
56%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,6
1,6
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%
14 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
2 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lyon 10. · Monaco 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 10 9 0 1 +14 27
2 Lens 9 5 3 1 +6 18
3 Nice 8 5 2 1 +13 17
4 Angers 10 4 4 2 +4 16
5 Marseille 8 4 2 2 +4 14
6 Monaco 9 4 2 3 +3 14
7 Lorient 9 3 5 1 +1 14
8 Lille 10 4 2 4 -2 14
9 Nantes 9 4 1 4 +3 13
10 Lyon 9 3 4 2 +1 13
11 Clermont 10 3 4 3 -7 13
12 Rennes 9 3 3 3 +3 12
13 Strasbourg 9 3 2 4 -1 11
14 Montpellier 9 2 4 3 +0 10
15 Reims 9 2 4 3 -1 10
16 Bordeaux 9 1 4 4 -9 7
17 Troyes 9 1 3 5 -6 6
18 Metz 9 1 3 5 -8 6
19 Brest 9 0 4 5 -8 4
20 St Etienne 9 0 4 5 -10 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lyon Monaco
Half-time 0–0
Lucas Paquetá 🔁
↦ R. Cherki
66′
T. Kadewere 🔁
↦ X. Shaqiri
67′
71′
🔁 M. Boadu
↦ K. Volland
73′
🟨 Axel Disasi
1–0 K. Toko Ekambi
75′
76′
🟨 Jean Lucas
Maxence Caqueret 🟨
77′
82′
🔁 F. Lemaréchal
↦ E. Matazo
82′
🔁 I. Jakobs
↦ Jean Lucas
2–0 J. Denayer
Emerson
90′
91′
🔁 M. Akliouche
↦ Gelson Martins
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Lyon

4-2-3-1
30 J. Pollersbeck G
27 J. Boateng D
3 Emerson D
14 L. Dubois D
5 J. Denayer D
29 X. Shaqiri M
39 Bruno Guimarães M
8 H. Aouar M
25 M. Caqueret M
7 K. Toko Ekambi M
18 R. Cherki F
Bench (9)
10 Lucas Paquetá
11 T. Kadewere
12 Henrique
40 K. Bonnevie
23 Thiago Mendes
17 M. Gusto
19 H. Keita
21 D. Da Silva
2 S. Diomandé

Coach: P. Bosz

Monaco

4-4-2
16 A. Nübel G
26 R. Aguilar D
6 A. Disasi D
12 Caio Henrique D
5 B. Badiashile D
7 Gelson Martins M
11 Jean Lucas M
22 Y. Fofana M
36 E. Matazo M
31 K. Volland F
10 W. Ben Yedder F
Bench (9)
9 M. Boadu
33 F. Lemaréchal
14 I. Jakobs
35 M. Akliouche
21 S. Pavlović
3 G. Maripán
34 C. Matsima
39 W. Isidor
1 R. Majecki

Coach: N. Kovač

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,23
U
3,61
B
3,09
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,65
U2,5 ✓
2,27
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Delerue · 60 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.