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Ligue 1
Referee: R Buquet
Metz
T U U U S
1–3
Full-time
Montpellier
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Metz Montpellier
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,8
1,8
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 23%
13%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
60%
40%
Both score Ø 57%
60%
53%
Average goals
3,1
2,9
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

46% Possession 54%
20 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 7
7 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Metz 19. · Montpellier 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 15 13 1 1 +20 40
2 Rennes 15 8 4 3 +14 28
3 Nice 15 8 3 4 +13 27
4 Marseille 14 7 5 2 +9 26
5 Lens 15 7 4 4 +7 25
6 Angers 15 5 7 3 +4 22
7 Lyon 14 6 4 4 +1 22
8 Strasbourg 15 5 5 5 +6 20
9 Monaco 15 5 5 5 +1 20
10 Nantes 15 5 4 6 +0 19
11 Montpellier 15 5 4 6 -1 19
12 Brest 15 4 6 5 +0 18
13 Lille 15 4 6 5 -3 18
14 Reims 15 3 7 5 -2 16
15 Lorient 15 3 6 6 -10 15
16 Bordeaux 15 2 7 6 -10 13
17 Troyes 15 3 4 8 -10 13
18 Clermont 15 3 4 8 -12 13
19 Metz 15 2 6 7 -13 12
20 St Etienne 15 2 6 7 -14 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

3. Feb -21 Metz – Montpellier 1–1 16. Dec -20 Montpellier – Metz 0–2 5. Feb -20 Montpellier – Metz 1–1 2. Nov -19 Metz – Montpellier 2–2 10. Feb -18 Metz – Montpellier 0–1

Match report

Metz Montpellier
B. Traoré 🔁
↦ K. NDoram
32′
Pape Matar Sarr 🟨
34′
Dylan Bronn 🟨
36′
36′
⚽ T. Savanier 0–1
Half-time 0–2
46′
⚽ S. Mavididi 0–2
E. Wahi
48′
⚽ E. Wahi 0–3
M. Ristić
I. Niane 🔁
↦ Jemerson
52′
56′
🔁 V. Germain
↦ E. Wahi
1–3 N. de Préville ⚽
O. Nguette
70′
72′
🟨 Florent Mollet
73′
🔁 S. Sambia
↦ J. Ferri
A. Bassi 🔁
↦ P. Sarr
80′
M. Gueye 🔁
↦ O. Nguette
80′
82′
🟨 Mihailo Ristić
85′
🔁 B. Makouana
↦ S. Mavididi
86′
🔁 N. Gioacchini
↦ T. Savanier
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Metz

3-5-2
16 A. Oukidja G
17 T. Delaine M
5 Jemerson D
2 D. Bronn D
18 F. Centonze M
23 B. Kouyaté D
14 V. Pajot M
11 O. Nguette F
6 K. N'Doram M
15 P. Sarr M
9 N. de Préville F
Bench (9)
8 B. Traoré
7 I. Niane
21 A. Bassi
20 M. Gueye
26 P. Yade
22 S. Alakouch
30 M. Caillard
12 W. Tchimbembé
33 A. Mbengue

Coach: F. Antonetti

Montpellier

4-2-3-1
1 J. Omlin G
3 M. Sakho D
2 A. Souquet D
7 M. Ristić D
31 N. Cozza D
12 J. Ferri M
25 F. Mollet M
11 T. Savanier M
13 J. Chotard M
10 S. Mavididi M
21 E. Wahi F
Bench (9)
9 V. Germain
6 S. Sambia
28 B. Makouana
23 N. Gioacchini
26 Thuler
16 D. Bertaud
8 A. Oyongo
18 L. Leroy
34 S. Delaye

Coach: O. Dall’Oglio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,60
🔒
U
3,39
🔒
B ✓
2,72
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,90
🔒
U2,5
1,91
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Buquet · 155 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.