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Eredivisie
Referee: B Nijhuis
Feyenoord
S S S S U
2–1
Full-time
Heracles
T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feyenoord Heracles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 50%
69%
31%
Points per game
2,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
69%
38%
Both score Ø 46%
46%
46%
Average goals
3,4
2,5
Scored
2,4
1,1
Conceded
1,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,4
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

60% Possession 40%
22 Shots 4
12 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 10
1 Corners 1
2 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Feyenoord 3. · Heracles 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 14 10 3 1 +41 33
2 PSV Eindhoven 14 10 1 3 +13 31
3 Feyenoord 13 9 2 2 +18 29
4 Utrecht 13 8 2 3 +14 26
5 Cambuur 14 8 0 6 -3 24
6 Twente 14 6 4 4 +2 22
7 Go Ahead Eagles 14 6 2 6 -5 20
8 Nijmegen 14 5 4 5 -3 19
9 Vitesse 12 6 1 5 -8 19
10 Heerenveen 13 5 3 5 -2 18
11 Willem II 14 5 3 6 -7 18
12 Groningen 14 4 5 5 -4 17
13 Heracles 13 4 2 7 -4 14
14 AZ Alkmaar 11 4 1 6 +2 13
15 Waalwijk 14 2 6 6 -8 12
16 Sparta Rotterdam 14 2 4 8 -10 10
17 For Sittard 13 2 3 8 -17 9
18 Zwolle 14 1 2 11 -19 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Feyenoord Heracles
Luis Sinisterra ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
13′
15′
S. Bakış 0–1
I. Azzaoui
24′
🔁 B. Başacıkoğlu
↦ I. Azzaoui
Half-time 0–1
47′
🟨 Marco Rente
49′
🟨 Bilal Başaçıkoğlu
1–1 L. Sinisterra
O. Kökçü
52′
54′
🟨 Giacomo Quagliata
J. Toornstra 🔁
↦ O. Kökçü
56′
C. Dessers 🔁
↦ B. Linssen
56′
Marcos Senesi 🟨
58′
60′
🔁 N. Laursen
↦ B. Başacıkoğlu
60′
🔁 L. Schoofs
↦ K. Sierhuis
2–1 L. Sinisterra
G. Til
70′
R. Nelson 🔁
↦ A. Jahanbakhsh
80′
80′
🔁 N. Fadiga
↦ N. Bakboord
M. Pedersen 🔁
↦ L. Sinisterra
86′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Feyenoord

4-2-3-1
21 O. Marciano G
18 G. Trauner D
5 T. Malacia D
4 M. Senesi D
3 L. Geertruida D
17 F. Aursnes M
26 G. Til M
10 O. Kökçü M
11 B. Linssen F
9 A. Jahanbakhsh M
7 L. Sinisterra M
Bench (10)
28 J. Toornstra
33 C. Dessers
14 R. Nelson
2 M. Pedersen
49 T. Troost
20 João Carlos Teixeira
25 R. Hendriks
30 T. Jansen
24 N. Bannis
6 M. Diemers

Coach: A. Slot

Heracles

4-2-3-1
1 J. Blaswich G
13 M. Knoester D
19 N. Bakboord D
5 M. Rente D
3 G. Quagliata D
6 O. Kiomourtzoglou M
14 L. de la Torre M
9 S. Bakış F
18 I. Azzaoui M
16 K. Sierhuis M
37 D. Burgzorg M
Bench (12)
7 B. Başacıkoğlu
11 N. Laursen
15 L. Schoofs
23 N. Fadiga
34 A. Damen
30 M. Amissi
22 M. Leš
4 S. Sonnenberg
26 K. Bucker
25 R. Polley
12 R. Roosken
8 E. Sierra

Coach: F. Wormuth

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,32
U
5,30
B
8,92
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,56
U2,5
2,37
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Nijhuis · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.