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Ligue 1

Referee: A Gautier

Nice

S T S U S

0–1

Full-time

Montpellier

T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nice Montpellier

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 46%

58%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

58%

50%

Both score Ø 55%

42%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

1,9

1,7

Conceded

0,8

1,6

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

69% Possession 31%

22 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

8 Corners 2

0 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nice 2. · Montpellier 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	13	11	1	1	+16	34
2	Nice	12	7	3	2	+14	24
3	Lens	13	7	3	3	+11	24
4	Marseille	13	6	5	2	+8	23
5	Rennes	12	5	4	3	+7	19
6	Lyon	12	5	4	3	+3	19
7	Strasbourg	13	5	3	5	+6	18
8	Angers	13	4	6	3	+3	18
9	Nantes	13	5	3	5	+2	18
10	Monaco	13	5	3	5	+1	18
11	Montpellier	12	4	4	4	+1	16
12	Lille	13	4	4	5	-3	16
13	Lorient	13	3	6	4	-7	15
14	Troyes	13	3	4	6	-8	13
15	Clermont	13	3	4	6	-10	13
16	Reims	13	2	6	5	-3	12
17	Brest	13	2	6	5	-5	12
18	Bordeaux	13	2	6	5	-9	12
19	St Etienne	13	1	6	6	-13	9
20	Metz	13	1	5	7	-14	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	6	6	0	0	+11	18
2	Lyon	7	4	3	0	+7	15
3	Lens	7	4	2	1	+9	14
4	Montpellier	7	4	2	1	+6	14
5	Strasbourg	7	4	1	2	+10	13
6	Rennes	6	4	1	1	+8	13
7	Nantes	7	4	1	2	+4	13
8	Marseille	7	3	3	1	+6	12
9	Nice	6	3	3	0	+6	12
10	Lorient	6	3	2	1	+2	11
11	Lille	6	3	2	1	+0	11
12	Monaco	6	3	1	2	+3	10
13	Angers	6	3	1	2	+2	10
14	Clermont	6	2	2	2	+0	8
15	St Etienne	7	1	4	2	-3	7
16	Brest	6	1	3	2	-1	6
17	Reims	6	1	3	2	-1	6
18	Troyes	6	1	3	2	-1	6
19	Bordeaux	7	1	3	3	-3	6
20	Metz	6	0	3	3	-6	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	7	5	1	1	+5	16
2	Nice	6	4	0	2	+8	12
3	Marseille	6	3	2	1	+2	11
4	Lens	6	3	1	2	+2	10
5	Angers	7	1	5	1	+1	8
6	Monaco	7	2	2	3	-2	8
7	Troyes	7	2	1	4	-7	7
8	Rennes	6	1	3	2	-1	6
9	Reims	7	1	3	3	-2	6
10	Brest	7	1	3	3	-4	6
11	Bordeaux	6	1	3	2	-6	6
12	Nantes	6	1	2	3	-2	5
13	Lille	7	1	2	4	-3	5
14	Strasbourg	6	1	2	3	-4	5
15	Metz	7	1	2	4	-8	5
16	Clermont	7	1	2	4	-10	5
17	Lyon	5	1	1	3	-4	4
18	Lorient	7	0	4	3	-9	4
19	Montpellier	5	0	2	3	-5	2
20	St Etienne	6	0	2	4	-10	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.