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Ligue 1
Referee: R Buquet
Reims
S U T T T
0–2
Full-time
Paris SG
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reims Paris SG
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
50%
25%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,3
1,5
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

35% Possession 65%
8 Shots 21
3 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Reims 19. · Paris SG 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rennes 5 4 1 0 +7 13
2 Lille 5 3 2 0 +4 11
3 Montpellier 5 3 1 1 +5 10
4 St Etienne 5 3 1 1 +3 10
5 Monaco 5 3 1 1 +2 10
6 Lens 5 3 1 1 +2 10
7 Angers 5 3 0 2 -2 9
8 Marseille 5 2 2 1 +0 8
9 Nice 5 2 1 2 -2 7
10 Lyon 5 1 3 1 +2 6
11 Paris SG 4 2 0 2 +2 6
12 Bordeaux 5 1 3 1 +1 6
13 Brest 5 2 0 3 -3 6
14 Nimes 5 1 2 2 +1 5
15 Nantes 5 1 2 2 -2 5
16 Lorient 5 1 1 3 -2 4
17 Metz 5 1 1 3 -2 4
18 Strasbourg 5 1 0 4 -6 3
19 Reims 4 0 1 3 -3 1
20 Dijon 5 0 1 4 -7 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Reims Paris SG
9′
M. Icardi 0–1
K. Mbappé
Moreto Cassama 🟨
35′
Half-time 0–1
51′
🟨 Julian Draxler
B. Dia 🔁
↦ A. Donis
58′
62′
M. Icardi 0–2
K. Mbappé
A. Zeneli 🔁
↦ N. Mbuku
65′
D. Kutesa 🔁
↦ E. Toure
65′
68′
🔁 Ander Herrera
↦ J. Draxler
68′
🔁 M. Verratti
↦ L. Paredes
Thomas Foket 🟨
73′
78′
🔁 K. Ruiz-Atil
↦ Á. Di María
78′
🔁 Pablo Sarabia
↦ M. Icardi
F. Hornby 🔁
↦ Moreto Cassamã
81′
85′
🔁 A. Diallo
↦ P. Kimpembe
90′
🟨 Marquinhos
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Reims

4-1-4-1
1 P. Rajković G
5 Y. Abdelhamid D
32 T. Foket D
29 D. Maresic D
3 G. Konan D
14 V. Berisha M
7 X. Chavalerin M
23 Moreto Cassamã M
17 A. Donis M
21 N. Mbuku M
27 E. Toure F
Bench (9)
11 B. Dia
10 A. Zeneli
8 D. Kutesa
18 F. Hornby
9 K. Sierhuis
28 T. De Smet
24 M. Cafaro
16 Y. Diouf
20 T. Dingomé

Coach: D. Guion

Paris SG

4-1-4-1
1 K. Navas G
5 Marquinhos D
24 A. Florenzi D
3 P. Kimpembe D
25 M. Bakker D
11 Á. Di María M
8 L. Paredes M
23 J. Draxler M
10 Neymar M
9 M. Icardi F
7 K. Mbappé M
Bench (9)
21 Ander Herrera
6 M. Verratti
36 K. Ruiz-Atil
19 Pablo Sarabia
22 A. Diallo
16 Sergio Rico
33 B. Fadiga
31 C. Dagba
30 A. Letellier

Coach: T. Tuchel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
11,43
U
6,15
B ✓
1,25
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,52
U2,5 ✓
2,52
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Buquet · 155 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.