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Bundesliga

Referee: J Weinberger

Ried

T S T S U

2–2

Full-time

Sturm Graz

U S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ried Sturm Graz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

1,5

2,0

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,2

This season — Bundesliga · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 41%

33%

48%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 72%

62%

81%

Both score Ø 72%

76%

67%

Average goals

3,2

3,5

Scored

1,4

2,1

Conceded

1,9

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%

13 Shots 16

3 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 7

3 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ried 7. · Sturm Graz 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	22	17	4	1	+37	55
2	Sturm Graz	21	10	6	5	+14	36
3	Wolfsberger AC	21	10	4	7	+1	34
4	Austria Vienna	21	7	9	5	+7	30
5	A. Klagenfurt	21	7	9	5	+1	30
6	SK Rapid	21	7	7	7	+1	28
7	Ried	21	7	7	7	-10	28
8	LASK	21	6	7	8	+0	25
9	Hartberg	21	5	7	9	-5	22
10	Admira	21	4	8	9	-5	20
11	Tirol	21	4	8	9	-13	20
12	Altach	22	3	4	15	-28	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	11	10	1	0	+28	31
2	Ried	10	6	4	0	+6	22
3	Sturm Graz	11	5	4	2	+7	19
4	Wolfsberger AC	10	6	1	3	+5	19
5	A. Klagenfurt	11	4	6	1	+2	18
6	Austria Vienna	11	4	5	2	+5	17
7	SK Rapid	10	5	1	4	+4	16
8	LASK	11	3	4	4	+0	13
9	Tirol	11	2	6	3	+1	12
10	Hartberg	10	2	4	4	-3	10
11	Admira	10	2	2	6	-2	8
12	Altach	11	1	2	8	-15	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	11	7	3	1	+9	24
2	Sturm Graz	10	5	2	3	+7	17
3	Wolfsberger AC	11	4	3	4	-4	15
4	Austria Vienna	10	3	4	3	+2	13
5	LASK	10	3	3	4	+0	12
6	A. Klagenfurt	10	3	3	4	-1	12
7	Hartberg	11	3	3	5	-2	12
8	SK Rapid	11	2	6	3	-3	12
9	Admira	11	2	6	3	-3	12
10	Altach	11	2	2	7	-13	8
11	Tirol	10	2	2	6	-14	8
12	Ried	11	1	3	7	-16	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.