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Eredivisie

Referee: D Higler

Ajax

S S S S T

3–2

Full-time

Waalwijk

S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Waalwijk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

2,5

1,2

Conceded

0,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-0,3

This season — Eredivisie · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 48%

75%

21%

Points per game

2,4

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

63%

54%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

3,0

1,1

Conceded

0,3

1,6

Goal diff per game

+2,7

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

73% Possession 27%

39 Shots 6

14 Shots on target 3

11 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 11

9 Corners 3

4 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajax 2. · Waalwijk 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	25	19	1	5	+31	58
2	Ajax	24	18	3	3	+64	57
3	Feyenoord	25	16	4	5	+34	52
4	Twente	25	14	6	5	+9	48
5	AZ Alkmaar	22	14	2	6	+17	44
6	Utrecht	23	11	6	6	+12	39
7	Vitesse	21	11	2	8	-7	35
8	Cambuur	25	10	3	12	-11	33
9	Nijmegen	24	8	7	9	-7	31
10	Groningen	25	7	9	9	-5	30
11	Go Ahead Eagles	25	7	6	12	-15	27
12	Heracles	25	7	5	13	-8	26
13	Heerenveen	24	7	5	12	-12	26
14	Waalwijk	24	5	8	11	-13	23
15	Willem II	25	6	4	15	-22	22
16	For Sittard	23	5	4	14	-27	19
17	Sparta Rotterdam	23	3	8	12	-19	17
18	Zwolle	24	4	5	15	-21	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	13	10	0	3	+17	30
2	Feyenoord	13	9	2	2	+20	29
3	AZ Alkmaar	12	9	2	1	+16	29
4	Ajax	12	9	1	2	+43	28
5	Twente	12	7	4	1	+10	25
6	Utrecht	11	7	3	1	+14	24
7	Heracles	13	7	3	3	+6	24
8	Cambuur	12	5	1	6	-3	16
9	Go Ahead Eagles	13	5	1	7	-4	16
10	Groningen	12	3	6	3	+1	15
11	Willem II	13	4	2	7	-8	14
12	Vitesse	10	4	1	5	-8	13
13	Waalwijk	12	4	1	7	-10	13
14	Heerenveen	12	3	2	7	-7	11
15	Sparta Rotterdam	13	2	5	6	-8	11
16	For Sittard	10	3	2	5	-10	11
17	Nijmegen	11	2	4	5	-4	10
18	Zwolle	12	2	4	6	-5	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	12	9	2	1	+21	29
2	PSV Eindhoven	12	9	1	2	+14	28
3	Feyenoord	12	7	2	3	+14	23
4	Twente	13	7	2	4	-1	23
5	Vitesse	11	7	1	3	+1	22
6	Nijmegen	13	6	3	4	-3	21
7	Cambuur	13	5	2	6	-8	17
8	AZ Alkmaar	10	5	0	5	+1	15
9	Utrecht	12	4	3	5	-2	15
10	Heerenveen	12	4	3	5	-5	15
11	Groningen	13	4	3	6	-6	15
12	Go Ahead Eagles	12	2	5	5	-11	11
13	Waalwijk	12	1	7	4	-3	10
14	Willem II	12	2	2	8	-14	8
15	For Sittard	13	2	2	9	-17	8
16	Zwolle	12	2	1	9	-16	7
17	Sparta Rotterdam	10	1	3	6	-11	6
18	Heracles	12	0	2	10	-14	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.