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Serie A

Referee: G Manganiello

Fiorentina

U T S S T

1–1

Full-time

Verona

S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Verona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,0

3,8

Scored

1,8

2,5

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,2

This season — Serie A · 26/27 matches

Win Ø 46%

50%

41%

Points per game

1,6

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 74%

73%

74%

Both score Ø 68%

58%

78%

Average goals

3,1

3,5

Scored

1,7

1,9

Conceded

1,4

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

51% Possession 49%

8 Shots 2

2 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 2

0 Offside 4

15 Free kicks against 15

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fiorentina 8. · Verona 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	27	17	7	3	+38	58
2	Napoli	27	17	6	4	+30	57
3	Milan	27	17	6	4	+24	57
4	Juventus	27	14	8	5	+16	50
5	Atalanta	27	13	8	6	+19	47
6	Roma	28	14	5	9	+12	47
7	Lazio	28	13	7	8	+15	46
8	Fiorentina	26	13	3	10	+9	42
9	Verona	27	11	7	9	+9	40
10	Sassuolo	27	9	9	9	+0	36
11	Torino	26	9	6	11	+5	33
12	Bologna	26	9	5	12	-10	32
13	Empoli	28	8	8	12	-13	32
14	Udinese	26	6	11	9	-9	29
15	Sampdoria	28	7	5	16	-12	26
16	Spezia	27	7	5	15	-21	26
17	Cagliari	28	5	10	13	-23	25
18	Venezia	26	5	7	14	-23	22
19	Genoa	28	1	15	12	-25	18
20	Salernitana	26	3	6	17	-41	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	14	10	2	2	+23	32
2	Roma	15	8	4	3	+6	28
3	Milan	14	8	3	3	+10	27
4	Napoli	13	8	2	3	+14	26
5	Verona	14	8	2	4	+12	26
6	Fiorentina	12	8	1	3	+15	25
7	Lazio	13	7	4	2	+14	25
8	Torino	14	7	3	4	+11	24
9	Juventus	13	7	3	3	+8	24
10	Bologna	13	6	2	5	+1	20
11	Udinese	13	4	6	3	-2	18
12	Atalanta	13	4	5	4	+6	17
13	Sassuolo	14	4	5	5	-3	17
14	Sampdoria	14	4	3	7	-3	15
15	Spezia	13	3	3	7	-4	12
16	Cagliari	14	2	6	6	-9	12
17	Empoli	14	3	2	9	-15	11
18	Venezia	13	2	4	7	-10	10
19	Genoa	14	0	8	6	-10	8
20	Salernitana	13	1	4	8	-19	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	14	9	4	1	+16	31
2	Milan	13	9	3	1	+14	30
3	Atalanta	14	9	3	2	+13	30
4	Inter	13	7	5	1	+15	26
5	Juventus	14	7	5	2	+8	26
6	Empoli	14	5	6	3	+2	21
7	Lazio	15	6	3	6	+1	21
8	Roma	13	6	1	6	+6	19
9	Sassuolo	13	5	4	4	+3	19
10	Fiorentina	14	5	2	7	-6	17
11	Verona	13	3	5	5	-3	14
12	Spezia	14	4	2	8	-17	14
13	Cagliari	14	3	4	7	-14	13
14	Bologna	13	3	3	7	-11	12
15	Venezia	13	3	3	7	-13	12
16	Udinese	13	2	5	6	-7	11
17	Sampdoria	14	3	2	9	-9	11
18	Genoa	14	1	7	6	-15	10
19	Torino	12	2	3	7	-6	9
20	Salernitana	13	2	2	9	-22	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.