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2. Bundesliga

Erzgebirge Aue

T T T T U

1–0

Full-time

Regensburg

T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Erzgebirge Aue Regensburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

4,3

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

3,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,7

-0,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 26%

13%

38%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

58%

71%

Both score Ø 58%

58%

Average goals

3,0

3,3

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

17 Shots 13

7 Shots on target 3

4 Corners 8

12 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Erzgebirge Aue 17. · Regensburg 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	25	14	5	6	+20	47
2	St Pauli	25	14	5	6	+15	47
3	Werder Bremen	24	13	6	5	+14	45
4	Nurnberg	25	12	6	7	+3	42
5	Hamburg	25	10	11	4	+19	41
6	Schalke 04	25	12	5	8	+17	41
7	Heidenheim	25	11	6	8	-1	39
8	Paderborn	25	9	9	7	+9	36
9	Karlsruhe	25	8	9	8	+3	33
10	Regensburg	24	9	5	10	+5	32
11	Holstein Kiel	25	8	7	10	-9	31
12	Hannover	25	8	7	10	-11	31
13	Sandhausen	25	7	8	10	-13	29
14	Hansa Rostock	25	7	7	11	-10	28
15	Fortuna Dusseldorf	24	7	6	11	-4	27
16	Dresden	24	7	5	12	-9	26
17	Erzgebirge Aue	24	3	7	14	-25	16
18	Ingolstadt	24	3	6	15	-23	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	12	9	2	1	+18	29
2	Heidenheim	12	7	4	1	+8	25
3	Hamburg	13	6	6	1	+12	24
4	Schalke 04	13	7	2	4	+11	23
5	Darmstadt	12	7	2	3	+11	23
6	Nurnberg	13	7	2	4	+4	23
7	Karlsruhe	13	5	5	3	+6	20
8	Werder Bremen	11	5	4	2	+9	19
9	Regensburg	13	5	3	5	+5	18
10	Dresden	12	5	2	5	+2	17
11	Holstein Kiel	13	5	2	6	-5	17
12	Hannover	12	4	4	4	-3	16
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	12	3	4	5	+0	13
14	Paderborn	13	2	5	6	-3	11
15	Sandhausen	12	2	4	6	-11	10
16	Hansa Rostock	12	2	3	7	-9	9
17	Erzgebirge Aue	12	2	2	8	-13	8
18	Ingolstadt	12	1	4	7	-10	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Werder Bremen	13	8	2	3	+5	26
2	Paderborn	12	7	4	1	+12	25
3	Darmstadt	13	7	3	3	+9	24
4	Hansa Rostock	13	5	4	4	-1	19
5	Nurnberg	12	5	4	3	-1	19
6	Sandhausen	13	5	4	4	-2	19
7	Schalke 04	12	5	3	4	+6	18
8	St Pauli	13	5	3	5	-3	18
9	Hamburg	12	4	5	3	+7	17
10	Hannover	13	4	3	6	-8	15
11	Regensburg	11	4	2	5	+0	14
12	Holstein Kiel	12	3	5	4	-4	14
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	12	4	2	6	-4	14
14	Heidenheim	13	4	2	7	-9	14
15	Karlsruhe	12	3	4	5	-3	13
16	Dresden	12	2	3	7	-11	9
17	Erzgebirge Aue	12	1	5	6	-12	8
18	Ingolstadt	12	2	2	8	-13	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.