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Ligue 1
Referee: E Wattellier
Clermont
T U T T U
1–0
Full-time
Lille
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Clermont Lille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,7
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
2,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 33%
22%
44%
Points per game
1,1
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
56%
67%
Both score Ø 62%
56%
67%
Average goals
3,6
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,4
Conceded
2,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%
9 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 9
0 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Clermont 15. · Lille 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 10 9 0 1 +14 27
2 Lens 9 5 3 1 +6 18
3 Nice 8 5 2 1 +13 17
4 Angers 10 4 4 2 +4 16
5 Marseille 8 4 2 2 +4 14
6 Monaco 9 4 2 3 +3 14
7 Lorient 9 3 5 1 +1 14
8 Lille 9 4 2 3 -1 14
9 Nantes 9 4 1 4 +3 13
10 Lyon 9 3 4 2 +1 13
11 Rennes 9 3 3 3 +3 12
12 Strasbourg 9 3 2 4 -1 11
13 Montpellier 9 2 4 3 +0 10
14 Reims 9 2 4 3 -1 10
15 Clermont 9 2 4 3 -8 10
16 Bordeaux 9 1 4 4 -9 7
17 Troyes 9 1 3 5 -6 6
18 Metz 9 1 3 5 -8 6
19 Brest 9 0 4 5 -8 4
20 St Etienne 9 0 4 5 -10 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Clermont Lille
-5′
🟨 Benjamin André
32′
🟨 Renato Sanches
1–0 V. N'Simba
32′
Half-time 1–0
57′
🟨 Xeka
60′
🔁 Y. Yazıcı
↦ Renato Sanches
60′
🔁 A. Onana
↦ B. André
J. Allevinah 🔁
↦ E. Rashani
71′
71′
🔁 J. David
↦ T. Weah
71′
🔁 D. Bradarić
↦ G. Gudmundsson
P. Hamel 🔁
↦ M. Bayo
77′
J. Tell 🔁
↦ J. Dossou
78′
81′
🔁 A. Gomes
↦ J. Ikoné
Jordan Tell 🟨
85′
J. Iglesias 🔁
↦ J. Berthomier
85′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Clermont

4-2-3-1
1 A. Desmas G
21 F. Ogier D
4 C. Hountondji D
12 V. N'Simba D
20 A. Zedadka D
25 J. Gastien M
18 E. Rashani M
8 J. Berthomier M
24 J. Dossou M
19 S. Samed M
27 M. Bayo F
Bench (9)
11 J. Allevinah
26 P. Hamel
9 J. Tell
10 J. Iglesias
15 A. Mendy
40 O. Djoco
22 Oriol Busquets
33 K. Mohamed
36 A. Seidu

Coach: P. Gastien

Lille

4-2-3-1
1 I. Grbić G
6 José Fonte D
2 Z. Çelik D
5 G. Gudmundsson D
3 Tiago Djaló D
21 B. André M
18 Renato Sanches M
8 Xeka M
10 J. Ikoné M
7 J. Bamba M
22 T. Weah F
Bench (9)
11 Y. Yazıcı
24 A. Onana
9 J. David
29 D. Bradarić
20 A. Gomes
26 J. Pied
19 I. Lihadji
27 C. Niasse
16 A. Jakubech

Coach: J. Gourvennec

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,19
U
3,37
B
2,27
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,99
U2,5 ✓
1,84
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

E Wattellier · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.