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Eredivisie
Referee: S van der Eijk
Twente
S S T U S
1–0
Full-time
Cambuur
U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Cambuur
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 48%
54%
42%
Points per game
1,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
54%
75%
Both score Ø 69%
63%
75%
Average goals
2,8
3,8
Scored
1,6
1,7
Conceded
1,3
2,1
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
21 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 0
4 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Twente 4. · Cambuur 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 25 19 1 5 +31 58
2 Ajax 24 18 3 3 +64 57
3 Feyenoord 25 16 4 5 +34 52
4 Twente 24 13 6 5 +8 45
5 AZ Alkmaar 22 14 2 6 +17 44
6 Utrecht 23 11 6 6 +12 39
7 Vitesse 21 11 2 8 -7 35
8 Cambuur 24 10 3 11 -10 33
9 Nijmegen 24 8 7 9 -7 31
10 Groningen 25 7 9 9 -5 30
11 Go Ahead Eagles 25 7 6 12 -15 27
12 Heracles 25 7 5 13 -8 26
13 Heerenveen 24 7 5 12 -12 26
14 Waalwijk 24 5 8 11 -13 23
15 Willem II 25 6 4 15 -22 22
16 For Sittard 23 5 4 14 -27 19
17 Sparta Rotterdam 23 3 8 12 -19 17
18 Zwolle 24 4 5 15 -21 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Twente Cambuur
16′
🟨 Jasper ter Heide
25′
🟨 Calvin Mac-Intosh
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 M. Tol
↦ C. Mac-Intosch
46′
🔁 P. Joosten
↦ D. Sambissa
57′
🟨 Erik Schouten
1–0 R. Pröpper
R. van Wolfswinkel
63′
64′
🔁 M. Breij
↦ J. Jacobs
Joshua Brenet 🟨
70′
73′
🔁 J. van der Meer
↦ J. ter Heide
82′
🔁 P. Bos
↦ S. Stevens
88′
🟨 Mitchell Paulissen
D. Limnios 🔁
↦ D. Rots
89′
D. Cleonise 🔁
↦ V. Misidjan
90′
J. Bosch 🔁
↦ M. Vlap
94′
95′
🟨 Marco Tol
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Twente

4-2-3-1
1 L. Unnerstall G
3 R. Pröpper D
20 J. Brenet D
4 Julio Pleguezuelo D
5 G. Smal D
23 M. Sadílek M
14 M. Vlap M
19 R. Zerrouki M
13 R. van Wolfswinkel F
10 V. Misidjan M
39 D. Rots M
Bench (11)
18 D. Limnios
32 J. Bosch
26 D. Cleonise
40 C. Staring
27 M. Ugalde
30 E. van der Gouw
22 J. de Lange
2 G. Troupée
15 K. Pierie
38 M. Bruns
7 V. Černý

Coach: R. Jans

Cambuur

4-3-3
1 S. Stevens G
3 C. Mac-Intosch D
4 E. Schouten D
18 D. Sambissa F
16 A. Bangura D
10 M. Paulissen M
20 R. Maulun M
8 J. Jacobs M
2 J. ter Heide D
9 T. Boere F
7 I. Kallon F
Bench (10)
15 M. Tol
11 P. Joosten
14 M. Breij
33 J. van der Meer
12 P. Bos
34 T. Rier
17 N. Doodeman
31 B. Minnema
36 R. van Mameren
21 T. Kiss

Coach: H. de Jong

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,62
U
4,08
B
5,15
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,75
U2,5 ✓
2,08
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S van der Eijk · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.