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Ligue 1
Referee: B Millot
Monaco
S T S U U
1–2
Full-time
Reims
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Reims
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 32%
40%
24%
Points per game
1,5
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
48%
36%
Both score Ø 48%
48%
48%
Average goals
2,6
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,1
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

69% Possession 31%
18 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 7
10 Blocked shots 1
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Monaco 7. · Reims 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 26 19 5 2 +33 62
2 Nice 26 14 5 7 +16 47
3 Marseille 25 13 7 5 +15 46
4 Rennes 26 13 4 9 +26 43
5 Strasbourg 26 12 7 7 +17 43
6 Lyon 25 10 9 6 +3 39
7 Monaco 25 10 8 7 +11 38
8 Nantes 25 11 5 9 +5 38
9 Lens 25 10 7 8 +4 37
10 Montpellier 26 11 4 11 +3 37
11 Lille 25 9 9 7 -3 36
12 Brest 25 8 8 9 -3 32
13 Angers 25 7 8 10 -6 29
14 Reims 25 6 10 9 -1 28
15 Clermont 25 7 6 12 -15 27
16 St Etienne 26 5 7 14 -23 22
17 Troyes 25 5 6 14 -18 21
18 Lorient 25 4 9 12 -19 21
19 Metz 25 4 9 12 -20 21
20 Bordeaux 25 4 9 12 -25 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Monaco Reims
Axel Disasi 🟨
25′
27′
🟨 Fraser Hornby
42′
🟨 Marshall Munetsi
Half-time 1–0
1–0 W. Ben Yedder
S. Diop
55′
65′
🔁 N. Mbuku
↦ F. Hornby
65′
🔁 M. Adeline
↦ G. Konan
73′
🔁 M. Doumbia
↦ A. Flips
73′
🔁 I. Kebbal
↦ M. van Bergen
M. Akliouche 🔁
↦ Gelson Martins
78′
79′
🔁 A. Zeneli
↦ D. Lopy
E. Matazo 🔁
↦ Y. Fofana
80′
84′
K. Volland 2–0
own goal
Jean Lucas 🟨
86′
Jean Lucas 🟨
88′
Jean Lucas 🟥
88′
C. Matsima 🔁
↦ K. Volland
91′
93′
N. Mbuku 2–1
A. Zeneli
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Monaco

4-1-4-1
16 A. Nübel G
3 G. Maripán D
6 A. Disasi D
2 Vanderson D
7 Gelson Martins M
11 Jean Lucas M
22 Y. Fofana M
37 S. Diop M
31 K. Volland M
10 W. Ben Yedder F
14 I. Jakobs D
Bench (9)
35 M. Akliouche
36 E. Matazo
34 C. Matsima
26 R. Aguilar
30 V. Mannone
33 F. Lemaréchal
19 D. Sidibé
38 Y. Okou
41 E. Ayiah

Coach: P. Clement

Reims

3-5-1-1
1 P. Rajković G
2 W. Faes D
3 G. Konan M
4 M. Busi D
28 B. Locko M
21 A. Matusiwa M
15 M. Munetsi D
12 A. Flips M
26 D. Lopy M
19 M. van Bergen F
18 F. Hornby F
Bench (9)
11 N. Mbuku
35 M. Adeline
25 M. Doumbia
20 I. Kebbal
10 A. Zeneli
27 S. Sissoko
33 K. Doumbia
16 Y. Diouf
37 E. Valentim

Coach: Óscar García

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,46
U
4,31
B ✓
7,86
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,96
U2,5
1,86
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Millot · 146 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.