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Europa League
Referee: A Karaoğlan
Rennes
T S S T T
2–3
Full-time
Villarreal
S S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Villarreal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 70%
80%
60%
Points per game
2,4
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
80%
40%
Both score Ø 40%
40%
40%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
2,2
1,2
Conceded
0,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,6
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,59 xG 2,29
54% Possession 46%
10 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 3
2 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

5. Oct -23 Villarreal – Rennes 1–0

Match report

Rennes Villarreal
Christopher Wooh 🟨
9′
18′
🟨 Raúl Albiol
Benjamin Bourigeaud 🟨
23′
Jeanuel Belocian 🟨
33′
35′
ℹ️ Alejandro Baena
VAR: Penalty confirmed
36′
🟨 Gerard Moreno
36′
⚽ Gerard Moreno 0–1
1–1 L. Assignon ⚽
E. Le Fée
37′
Steve Mandanda 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–1
Lorenz Assignon ℹ️
VAR: Card reviewed
46′
48′
🔁 Ramon Terrats
↦ J. Foyth
L. Blas 🔁
↦ B. Bourigeaud
55′
62′
⚽ Ilias Akhomach 1–2
Gerard Moreno
I. Salah 🔁
↦ A. Nagida
69′
A. Truffert 🔁
↦ J. Belocian
69′
A. Gouiri 🔁
↦ B. Yıldırım
69′
72′
🔁 F. Coquelin
↦ Ilias Akhomach
73′
🔁 José Luis Morales
↦ A. Sørloth
2–2 L. Blas ⚽
N. Matić
79′
80′
⚽ Dani Parejo 2–3
Álex Baena
A. Kalimuendo 🔁
↦ M. Terrier
84′
85′
🔁 Jorge Cuenca
↦ É. Capoue
86′
🔁 B. Brereton
↦ Gerard Moreno
91′
🟨 Dani Parejo
Lorenz Assignon ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
103′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Rennes

3-4-2-1
30 S. Mandanda G
15 C. Wooh D
16 J. Belocian D
5 A. Theate D
22 L. Assignon M
21 N. Matić M
28 E. Le Fée M
43 A. Nagida M
14 B. Bourigeaud F
7 M. Terrier F
99 B. Yıldırım F
Bench (12)
11 L. Blas
34 I. Salah
3 A. Truffert
10 A. Gouiri
9 A. Kalimuendo
23 W. Omari
8 B. Santamaría
40 G. Lembet
32 F. Rieder
17 G. Doué
33 D. Doué
1 G. Gallon

Coach: J. Stéphan

Villarreal

4-4-2
1 Pepe Reina G
8 J. Foyth D
3 Raúl Albiol D
2 M. Gabbia D
26 Adrià Alti D
27 Ilias Akhomach M
6 É. Capoue M
10 Dani Parejo M
16 Álex Baena M
7 Gerard Moreno F
11 A. Sørloth F
Bench (10)
20 Ramon Terrats
19 F. Coquelin
15 José Luis Morales
5 Jorge Cuenca
9 B. Brereton
18 Alberto Moreno
13 F. Jørgensen
31 Iker Álvarez
17 Kiko Femenía
14 Manu Trigueros

Coach: Marcelino

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Karaoğlan · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.