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Ligue 1

Referee: E Wattellier

Strasbourg

S U S S S

1–2

Full-time

Paris SG

T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Strasbourg Paris SG

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,8

2,2

Scored

3,0

1,3

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+2,2

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 1 · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 61%

47%

74%

Points per game

1,6

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

58%

47%

Both score Ø 45%

53%

37%

Average goals

2,9

Scored

1,7

2,2

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,31 xG 1,34

32% Possession 68%

9 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 6

5 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 6

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Strasbourg 7. · Paris SG 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lens	20	15	1	4	+18	+12.0	46
2	Paris SG	19	14	3	2	+26	+18.6	45
3	Marseille	20	12	3	5	+24	+13.1	39
4	Lyon	20	12	3	5	+13	+9.7	39
5	Lille	20	10	2	8	+4	+5.0	32
6	Rennes	20	8	7	5	-1	-0.1	31
7	Strasbourg	19	9	3	7	+9	+6.5	30
8	Toulouse	20	8	6	6	+8	+1.4	30
9	Lorient	20	7	7	6	-4	+0.5	28
10	Monaco	20	8	3	9	-1	+4.9	27
11	Angers	20	7	5	8	-4	-12.9	26
12	Brest	20	6	5	9	-7	+1.2	23
13	Nice	20	6	4	10	-11	-11.2	22
14	Paris FC	20	5	6	9	-8	-7.0	21
15	Le Havre	20	4	8	8	-9	-5.7	20
16	Nantes	20	3	5	12	-17	-11.8	14
17	Auxerre	20	3	4	13	-15	-7.3	13
18	Metz	20	3	3	14	-25	-16.8	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lens	10	9	0	1	+14	+13.0	27
2	Paris SG	9	8	1	0	+18	+10.1	25
3	Lyon	10	8	0	2	+10	+9.6	24
4	Marseille	10	7	2	1	+16	+8.8	23
5	Strasbourg	9	6	1	2	+11	+10.1	19
6	Lille	10	6	1	3	+5	+6.8	19
7	Monaco	11	6	1	4	+4	+6.7	19
8	Lorient	10	5	4	1	+4	+4.2	19
9	Rennes	10	5	3	2	+8	+8.5	18
10	Angers	10	5	2	3	+3	-2.2	17
11	Toulouse	11	4	4	3	+4	+3.5	16
12	Brest	10	4	3	3	+1	+8.1	15
13	Nice	10	4	3	3	+0	-1.6	15
14	Le Havre	10	3	5	2	+2	+6.2	14
15	Auxerre	10	3	1	6	-2	+1.8	10
16	Paris FC	10	2	4	4	-3	-0.8	10
17	Metz	9	2	2	5	-6	-2.8	8
18	Nantes	10	1	2	7	-11	-6.7	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Paris SG	10	6	2	2	+8	+8.4	20
2	Lens	10	6	1	3	+4	-1.0	19
3	Marseille	10	5	1	4	+8	+4.2	16
4	Lyon	10	4	3	3	+3	+0.1	15
5	Toulouse	9	4	2	3	+4	-2.1	14
6	Lille	10	4	1	5	-1	-1.7	13
7	Rennes	10	3	4	3	-9	-8.6	13
8	Strasbourg	10	3	2	5	-2	-3.7	11
9	Paris FC	10	3	2	5	-5	-6.2	11
10	Nantes	10	2	3	5	-6	-5.1	9
11	Angers	10	2	3	5	-7	-10.7	9
12	Lorient	10	2	3	5	-8	-3.7	9
13	Monaco	9	2	2	5	-5	-1.8	8
14	Brest	10	2	2	6	-8	-6.9	8
15	Nice	10	2	1	7	-11	-9.7	7
16	Le Havre	10	1	3	6	-11	-11.9	6
17	Metz	11	1	1	9	-19	-14.0	4
18	Auxerre	10	0	3	7	-13	-9.1	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.