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LaLiga2
Referee: M Gonzalez
Granada
T T U U S
1–0
Full-time
Santander
U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Granada Santander
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 40%
22%
57%
Points per game
1,1
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
43%
74%
Both score Ø 68%
57%
78%
Average goals
2,3
3,6
Scored
1,1
2,2
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%
13 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 17
5 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Granada 18. · Santander 1.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 23 13 5 5 +18 +0.5 44
2 Castellon 24 12 6 6 +13 +3.0 42
3 La Coruna 24 11 7 6 +12 +2.7 40
4 Almeria 24 11 6 7 +10 +0.9 39
5 Las Palmas 24 10 9 5 +9 -0.4 39
6 Malaga 23 11 5 7 +9 +1.1 38
7 Cordoba 24 10 8 6 +5 +1.0 38
8 Burgos 24 11 5 8 +4 +3.1 38
9 Sp Gijon 24 11 3 10 +1 +1.9 36
10 Ceuta 24 10 5 9 -4 -5.1 35
11 Cadiz 24 9 7 8 -1 -1.0 34
12 Albacete 24 9 6 9 -4 +2.3 33
13 Eibar 24 8 7 9 -1 +0.5 31
14 Leganes 24 7 8 9 +1 +5.1 29
15 Andorra 24 7 8 9 -7 +1.2 29
16 Valladolid 24 7 7 10 -2 +2.4 28
17 Huesca 24 7 6 11 -10 +0.4 27
18 Granada 23 5 11 7 -3 +0.1 26
19 Sociedad B 24 6 7 11 -4 -4.3 25
20 Cultural Leonesa 24 7 4 13 -13 -9.0 25
21 Zaragoza 24 5 7 12 -16 -2.8 22
22 Mirandes 23 4 5 14 -17 -3.6 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Granada Santander
1–0 J. M. Arnaiz
31′
41′
🟨 Pablo Ramón
42′
🔁 Manu
↦ P. Ramon
Half-time 1–0
J. Pascual 🔁
↦ G. Petit
46′
46′
🔁 S. Camara
↦ D. Rodriguez
Baïla Diallo 🟨
47′
Sergio Ruiz Alonso 🟨
48′
Loïc Williams 🟨
57′
58′
🔁 M. Garcia
↦ J. Salinas
58′
🔁 M. Lozano
↦ G. Guliashvili
A. Sola 🔁
↦ P. Saenz
65′
66′
🟨 Suleiman Camara
69′
🟨 Facundo González
S. Rodelas 🔁
↦ J. M. Arnaiz
72′
Oscar Naasei 🟨
75′
78′
🔁 M. Gueye
↦ M. Sangalli
79′
🟨 Gustavo Puerta
P. Casadesus 🔁
↦ O. Naasei
80′
I. Gonzalez 🔁
↦ P. Aleman
80′
Sergio Rodelas 🟨
83′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Granada

4-3-3
1 L. Zidane G
28 O. Naasei D
5 M. Lama D
24 L. Williams D
22 B. Diallo D
8 P. Aleman M
4 R. Alcaraz M
20 S. Ruiz M
21 P. Saenz F
9 G. Petit F
11 J. M. Arnaiz F
Bench (12)
13 A. Astralaga
2 P. Casadesus
3 D. Hormigo
7 A. Sola
10 M. Bouldini
14 M. Trigueros
17 B. Diaby
19 J. Pascual
23 L. Gagnidze
26 S. Rodelas
40 B. Diocou
16 I. Gonzalez

Coach: Pacheta

Santander

4-2-3-1
1 J. Ezkieta G
15 M. Sangalli D
21 P. Ramon D
16 F. Gonzalez D
32 J. Salinas D
23 D. Rodriguez M
19 G. Puerta M
11 A. Martin M
18 P. Canales M
10 I. Vicente M
7 G. Guliashvili F
Bench (9)
13 S. Eriksson
3 M. Garcia
4 Manu
5 J. Castro
6 I. Sainz-Maza
8 A. Aldasoro
14 M. Gueye
20 S. Camara
27 M. Lozano

Coach: Jose Lopez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,34
U
3,24
B
2,86
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,78
U2,5 ✓
1,93
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.