Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

La Liga

Referee: I Diaz

Real Madrid

T S S S T

2–1

Full-time

Vallecano

S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Real Madrid Vallecano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,7

3,0

Scored

3,2

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 50%

76%

24%

Points per game

2,4

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

57%

38%

Both score Ø 43%

48%

38%

Average goals

3,0

2,1

Scored

2,1

0,8

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,21 xG 1,03

57% Possession 43%

16 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

9 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 8

0 Red cards 2

The table before the match Real Madrid 2. · Vallecano 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	22	18	1	3	+37	+28.2	55
2	Real Madrid	21	16	3	2	+28	+26.8	51
3	Ath Madrid	22	13	6	3	+21	+10.5	45
4	Villarreal	21	13	3	5	+16	+6.9	42
5	Espanol	22	10	4	8	-1	+3.2	34
6	Betis	21	8	8	5	+7	+6.3	32
7	Celta	21	8	8	5	+6	-0.0	32
8	Sociedad	21	7	6	8	+0	-1.2	27
9	Osasuna	22	7	5	10	-1	-2.6	26
10	Alaves	22	7	4	11	-7	-2.6	25
11	Girona	22	6	7	9	-15	-12.1	25
12	Elche	22	5	9	8	-2	-15.7	24
13	Sevilla	21	7	3	11	-5	-9.8	24
14	Ath Bilbao	21	7	3	11	-10	+5.9	24
15	Valencia	21	5	8	8	-11	-1.1	23
16	Vallecano	21	5	7	9	-11	+1.2	22
17	Getafe	21	6	4	11	-11	-7.2	22
18	Mallorca	21	5	6	10	-9	-12.7	21
19	Levante	21	4	6	11	-10	-7.6	18
20	Oviedo	22	3	7	12	-22	-16.4	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	11	10	1	0	+19	+13.9	31
2	Barcelona	10	10	0	0	+26	+16.2	30
3	Real Madrid	10	9	0	1	+17	+15.6	27
4	Villarreal	11	8	1	2	+14	+5.8	25
5	Osasuna	11	6	3	2	+7	+2.6	21
6	Elche	12	5	5	2	+7	-4.2	20
7	Betis	10	6	1	3	+9	+5.9	19
8	Espanol	12	6	1	5	-2	+1.6	19
9	Alaves	11	5	3	3	+3	+1.4	18
10	Valencia	11	4	5	2	+4	+8.7	17
11	Sociedad	11	5	2	4	+2	+0.0	17
12	Mallorca	10	4	4	2	+1	-0.8	16
13	Ath Bilbao	10	5	1	4	-1	+7.2	16
14	Celta	11	3	5	3	+3	+1.4	14
15	Sevilla	11	4	1	6	-1	-1.5	13
16	Girona	11	3	4	4	-8	-7.7	13
17	Vallecano	10	2	6	2	-1	+5.4	12
18	Getafe	10	3	2	5	-1	-4.2	11
19	Oviedo	11	2	5	4	-7	-8.4	11
20	Levante	10	1	4	5	-9	-5.4	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	12	8	1	3	+11	+12.0	25
2	Real Madrid	11	7	3	1	+11	+11.2	24
3	Celta	10	5	3	2	+3	-1.4	18
4	Villarreal	10	5	2	3	+2	+1.1	17
5	Espanol	10	4	3	3	+1	+1.7	15
6	Ath Madrid	11	3	5	3	+2	-3.4	14
7	Betis	11	2	7	2	-2	+0.3	13
8	Girona	11	3	3	5	-7	-4.4	12
9	Levante	11	3	2	6	-1	-2.1	11
10	Sevilla	10	3	2	5	-4	-8.4	11
11	Getafe	11	3	2	6	-10	-3.0	11
12	Sociedad	10	2	4	4	-2	-1.2	10
13	Vallecano	11	3	1	7	-10	-4.2	10
14	Ath Bilbao	11	2	2	7	-9	-1.4	8
15	Alaves	11	2	1	8	-10	-4.0	7
16	Valencia	10	1	3	6	-15	-9.7	6
17	Osasuna	11	1	2	8	-8	-5.1	5
18	Mallorca	11	1	2	8	-10	-11.8	5
19	Oviedo	11	1	2	8	-15	-8.0	5
20	Elche	10	0	4	6	-9	-11.5	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.