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LaLiga2
Referee: G Cid
Eibar
S S T U S
1–0
Full-time
Sp Gijon
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Sp Gijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,5
3,5
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
0,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 39%
30%
48%
Points per game
1,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
48%
52%
Both score Ø 53%
48%
57%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
10 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 7
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Eibar 16. · Sp Gijon 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 23 13 5 5 +18 +0.5 44
2 La Coruna 24 11 7 6 +12 +2.7 40
3 Castellon 23 11 6 6 +11 +3.0 39
4 Almeria 24 11 6 7 +10 +0.9 39
5 Las Palmas 24 10 9 5 +9 -0.4 39
6 Malaga 23 11 5 7 +9 +1.1 38
7 Cordoba 24 10 8 6 +5 +1.0 38
8 Burgos 24 11 5 8 +4 +3.1 38
9 Sp Gijon 23 11 3 9 +2 +1.9 36
10 Ceuta 24 10 5 9 -4 -5.1 35
11 Cadiz 23 9 7 7 +0 -1.0 34
12 Albacete 24 9 6 9 -4 +2.3 33
13 Leganes 24 7 8 9 +1 +5.1 29
14 Andorra 23 7 8 8 -5 +1.2 29
15 Valladolid 24 7 7 10 -2 +2.4 28
16 Eibar 23 7 7 9 -2 +0.5 28
17 Granada 23 5 11 7 -3 +0.1 26
18 Sociedad B 24 6 7 11 -4 -4.3 25
19 Cultural Leonesa 24 7 4 13 -13 -9.0 25
20 Huesca 23 6 6 11 -11 +0.4 24
21 Zaragoza 24 5 7 12 -16 -2.8 22
22 Mirandes 23 4 5 14 -17 -3.6 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eibar Sp Gijon
José Corpas 🟨
11′
32′
🟨 Dani Queipo
Lander Olaetxea 🟨
34′
39′
🔁 D. Sanchez
↦ P. Vazquez
Half-time 1–0
1–0 A. Madariaga
Javier Marton
48′
59′
🔁 A. Ferrari
↦ M. Rodriguez
J. Bautista 🔁
↦ Javier Marton
60′
J. Martinez 🔁
↦ L. Olaetxea
69′
J. Magunazelaia Argoitia 🔁
↦ J. Guruzeta
69′
77′
🔁 J. Bernal
↦ D. Queipo
82′
ℹ️ Juan Otero
VAR: Card upgrade
83′
🟥 Juan Otero
Jair 🔁
↦ A. Madariaga
84′
A. Rodriguez 🔁
↦ A. Arbilla
84′
Jair Amador 🟨
86′
92′
🟨 Andrés Ferrari
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Eibar

4-2-3-1
13 J. Magunagoitia G
2 S. Cubero D
8 P. Nolaskoain D
21 M. Moreno D
23 A. Arbilla D
14 L. Olaetxea M
6 S. Alvarez M
17 J. Corpas M
16 A. Madariaga M
10 J. Guruzeta M
20 Javier Marton F
Bench (12)
1 L. Lopez
3 H. Arrillaga
4 A. Arambarri
5 J. Martinez
7 X. Alkain
9 J. Bautista
11 J. Magunazelaia Argoitia
15 Jair
18 A. Ares
22 A. Rodriguez
27 H. Garcia
30 A. Garrido

Coach: Benat San Jose

Sp Gijon

4-2-3-1
1 R. Yanez G
2 G. Rosas D
23 E. Curbelo D
15 P. Vazquez D
12 B. Olivan D
36 M. Rodriguez M
14 A. Corredera M
17 J. Dubasin M
10 C. Gelabert Pina M
11 D. Queipo M
19 J. Otero F
Bench (9)
13 C. Joel
3 P. Garcia
4 L. Perrin
5 D. Sanchez
8 J. Bernal
9 A. Ferrari
18 A. Coundoul
20 K. Vazquez
24 J. Smith

Coach: Borja Jimenez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,17
U
3,00
B
3,43
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,41
U2,5 ✓
1,50
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Cid · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.