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Ligue 1

Referee: F Batta

Metz

S T U T U

0–0

Full-time

Nantes

T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Metz Nantes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,3

2,5

Scored

0,3

1,5

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 30%

16%

44%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

52%

40%

Both score Ø 52%

52%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,4

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%

8 Shots 12

0 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

3 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Metz 19. · Nantes 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	26	19	5	2	+33	62
2	Nice	26	14	5	7	+16	47
3	Marseille	25	13	7	5	+15	46
4	Rennes	26	13	4	9	+26	43
5	Strasbourg	26	12	7	7	+17	43
6	Lyon	25	10	9	6	+3	39
7	Monaco	26	10	8	8	+10	38
8	Nantes	25	11	5	9	+5	38
9	Lens	25	10	7	8	+4	37
10	Montpellier	26	11	4	11	+3	37
11	Lille	25	9	9	7	-3	36
12	Brest	25	8	8	9	-3	32
13	Reims	26	7	10	9	+0	31
14	Angers	25	7	8	10	-6	29
15	Clermont	25	7	6	12	-15	27
16	St Etienne	26	5	7	14	-23	22
17	Troyes	25	5	6	14	-18	21
18	Lorient	25	4	9	12	-19	21
19	Metz	25	4	9	12	-20	21
20	Bordeaux	25	4	9	12	-25	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	13	12	1	0	+24	37
2	Rennes	13	9	1	3	+22	28
3	Lyon	13	7	5	1	+10	26
4	Nantes	13	8	2	3	+9	26
5	Monaco	14	7	4	3	+13	25
6	Strasbourg	13	7	3	3	+14	24
7	Lens	13	6	5	2	+9	23
8	Montpellier	14	7	2	5	+6	23
9	Nice	13	6	3	4	+3	21
10	Marseille	13	5	5	3	+7	20
11	Lille	12	5	5	2	-1	20
12	Brest	12	5	3	4	+3	18
13	Reims	12	4	4	4	+5	16
14	Lorient	12	4	4	4	+0	16
15	Angers	12	5	1	6	-1	16
16	Clermont	12	3	4	5	-3	13
17	Troyes	12	2	5	5	-2	11
18	Bordeaux	13	2	5	6	-5	11
19	St Etienne	13	2	5	6	-10	11
20	Metz	12	1	4	7	-10	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nice	13	8	2	3	+13	26
2	Marseille	12	8	2	2	+8	26
3	Paris SG	13	7	4	2	+9	25
4	Strasbourg	13	5	4	4	+3	19
5	Lille	13	4	4	5	-2	16
6	Rennes	13	4	3	6	+4	15
7	Reims	14	3	6	5	-5	15
8	Montpellier	12	4	2	6	-3	14
9	Lens	12	4	2	6	-5	14
10	Brest	13	3	5	5	-6	14
11	Metz	13	3	5	5	-10	14
12	Clermont	13	4	2	7	-12	14
13	Monaco	12	3	4	5	-3	13
14	Angers	13	2	7	4	-5	13
15	Lyon	12	3	4	5	-7	13
16	Nantes	12	3	3	6	-4	12
17	St Etienne	13	3	2	8	-13	11
18	Troyes	13	3	1	9	-16	10
19	Bordeaux	12	2	4	6	-20	10
20	Lorient	13	0	5	8	-19	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.