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Eredivisie
Referee: Jochem Kamphuis
Heracles
T S U S T
6–1
Full-time
VVV Venlo
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles VVV Venlo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
1,7
0,3
Conceded
1,2
3,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-2,8
This season — Eredivisie · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 34%
42%
25%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
42%
83%
Both score Ø 54%
50%
58%
Average goals
2,9
3,5
Scored
1,5
0,9
Conceded
1,4
2,6
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

63% Possession 37%
24 Shots 9
12 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heracles 9. · VVV Venlo 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 12 10 2 0 +30 32
2 AZ Alkmaar 12 8 2 2 +20 26
3 PSV Eindhoven 12 7 3 2 +13 24
4 Utrecht 12 7 2 3 +14 23
5 Vitesse 13 7 2 4 +5 23
6 Heerenveen 13 5 6 2 +6 21
7 Groningen 13 6 2 5 +3 20
8 Willem II 12 6 1 5 -3 19
9 Heracles 12 5 3 4 +1 18
10 Feyenoord 12 4 5 3 +0 17
11 Sparta Rotterdam 13 4 4 5 -2 16
12 Twente 12 4 3 5 -2 15
13 FC Emmen 12 4 1 7 -9 13
14 For Sittard 13 3 3 7 -14 12
15 Den Haag 13 3 1 9 -9 10
16 Zwolle 12 3 1 8 -12 10
17 VVV Venlo 12 3 0 9 -20 9
18 Waalwijk 12 1 1 10 -21 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heracles VVV Venlo
Sylvester van de Water 🟨
5′
14′
🟨 Richard Neudecker
1–0 A. Merkel
C. Dessers
23′
33′
🟨 Roel Janssen
2–0 S. van der Water
N. Bakboord
41′
Half-time 2–0
S. Jakubiak 🔁
↦ O. Kiomourtzoglou
46′
53′
🔁 D. van Bruggen
↦ N. Röseler
3–0 C. Dessers
L. Czyborra
56′
4–0 Mauro Júnior
C. Dessers
60′
5–0 C. Dessers
64′
66′
🔁 T. Dekker
↦ J. Yeboah
67′
🔁 J. Opoku
↦ E. Soriano
Robin Propper 🟨
74′
74′
P. van Ooijen 5–1
D. Van den Buijs 🔁
↦ R. Pröpper
80′
6–1 C. Dessers
S. van der Water
82′
T. Bijleveld 🔁
↦ Mauro Júnior
87′
Full-time 6–1

Line-ups

Heracles

4-3-3
1 J. Blaswich G
4 R. Pröpper D
13 M. Knoester D
19 N. Bakboord D
3 L. Czyborra D
52 A. Merkel M
10 Mauro Júnior M
22 O. Kiomourtzoglou M
24 D. dos Santos F
9 C. Dessers F
11 S. van der Water F
Bench (10)
21 S. Jakubiak
6 D. Van den Buijs
8 T. Bijleveld
26 K. Bucker
17 A. Szöke
2 T. Breukers
16 M. Brouwer
34 J. Hardeveld
25 J. Konings
23 M. Rossmann

Coach: F. Wormuth

VVV Venlo

4-3-3
1 T. Kirschbaum G
4 R. Janssen D
13 N. Röseler D
2 T. Pachonik D
5 S. Schäfer D
6 D. Post M
8 P. van Ooijen M
11 R. Neudecker M
9 E. Soriano F
7 H. Wright F
19 J. Yeboah F
Bench (8)
20 D. van Bruggen
17 T. Dekker
10 J. Opoku
15 J. Sinclair
24 S. Janssen
16 D. van Crooij
30 M. Antunic
18 S. Scheimann

Coach: R. Maaskant

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,60
U
4,26
B
4,95
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,52
U2,5
2,49
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jochem Kamphuis · 95 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.