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Bundesliga

Referee: S Gishamer

Sturm Graz

S T U S T

3–1

Full-time

Hartberg

U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Hartberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,8

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 46%

46%

Points per game

1,5

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

46%

69%

Both score Ø 50%

31%

69%

Average goals

2,7

3,8

Scored

1,5

1,9

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%

14 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 4

1 Offside 5

20 Free kicks against 22

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sturm Graz 6. · Hartberg 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	13	11	2	0	+41	35
2	LASK	13	10	2	1	+20	32
3	Wolfsberger AC	13	8	3	2	+21	27
4	SK Rapid	13	6	3	4	+7	21
5	Hartberg	13	6	3	4	+1	21
6	Sturm Graz	13	6	2	5	+5	20
7	Austria Vienna	13	3	3	7	-9	12
8	Tirol	13	3	3	7	-11	12
9	Altach	13	3	1	9	-10	10
10	Mattersburg	13	3	1	9	-21	10
11	St. Polten	13	2	4	7	-26	10
12	Admira	13	2	3	8	-18	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	7	7	0	0	+26	21
2	Wolfsberger AC	7	4	2	1	+14	14
3	LASK	6	3	2	1	+8	11
4	Hartberg	6	3	1	2	+3	10
5	Sturm Graz	7	3	1	3	+1	10
6	SK Rapid	7	2	2	3	+2	8
7	Altach	7	2	1	4	+0	7
8	Austria Vienna	6	2	1	3	-3	7
9	Admira	6	1	1	4	-5	4
10	Tirol	6	1	1	4	-9	4
11	Mattersburg	7	1	1	5	-10	4
12	St. Polten	6	0	2	4	-15	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	7	7	0	0	+12	21
2	Salzburg	6	4	2	0	+15	14
3	Wolfsberger AC	6	4	1	1	+7	13
4	SK Rapid	6	4	1	1	+5	13
5	Hartberg	7	3	2	2	-2	11
6	Sturm Graz	6	3	1	2	+4	10
7	Tirol	7	2	2	3	-2	8
8	St. Polten	7	2	2	3	-11	8
9	Mattersburg	6	2	0	4	-11	6
10	Austria Vienna	7	1	2	4	-6	5
11	Admira	7	1	2	4	-13	5
12	Altach	6	1	0	5	-10	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.