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Eredivisie
Referee: Jeroen Manschot
Feyenoord
S U T S T
1–1
Full-time
Heracles
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feyenoord Heracles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,5
3,2
Scored
2,3
2,0
Conceded
2,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,8
This season — Eredivisie · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 39%
33%
44%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
67%
44%
Both score Ø 67%
78%
56%
Average goals
3,9
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,4
Conceded
1,9
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%
17 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Feyenoord 10. · Heracles 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 10 8 2 0 +24 26
2 PSV Eindhoven 10 7 2 1 +17 23
3 Vitesse 10 7 2 1 +9 23
4 AZ Alkmaar 10 6 2 2 +13 20
5 Utrecht 10 5 2 3 +7 17
6 Heerenveen 10 4 4 2 +5 16
7 Willem II 10 5 1 4 -2 16
8 Sparta Rotterdam 10 4 3 3 +0 15
9 Heracles 9 4 2 3 -1 14
10 Feyenoord 9 3 4 2 +1 13
11 Groningen 10 4 1 5 +0 13
12 Twente 10 3 3 4 -2 12
13 Zwolle 10 3 1 6 -6 10
14 FC Emmen 10 3 1 6 -7 10
15 VVV Venlo 10 3 0 7 -14 9
16 Den Haag 10 2 0 8 -10 6
17 For Sittard 10 1 3 6 -12 6
18 Waalwijk 10 0 1 9 -22 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Feyenoord Heracles
1–0 J. Toornstra
R. Haps
14′
Half-time 1–0
52′
🟨 Orestis Kiomourtzoglou
56′
🟨 Dario Van Den Buijs
Leroy Fer 🟨
62′
W. Burger 🔁
↦ O. Kökçü
62′
63′
O. Kiomourtzoglou 1–1
79′
🔁 S. Jakubiak
↦ D. dos Santos
Marcos Senesi 🟨
81′
L. Narsingh 🔁
↦ J. Toornstra
84′
85′
🟨 Sebastian Jakubiak
85′
🔁 J. Cijntje
↦ Mauro Júnior
Edgar Ié 🟨
86′
92′
🔁 T. Breukers
↦ N. Bakboord
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Feyenoord

4-3-3
1 K. Vermeer G
32 Edgar Ié D
5 R. Haps D
27 R. Karsdorp D
4 M. Senesi D
19 L. Fer M
28 J. Toornstra M
23 O. Kökçü M
9 N. Jørgensen F
10 S. Berghuis F
17 L. Sinisterra F
Bench (11)
35 W. Burger
7 L. Narsingh
15 T. Malacia
25 M. Azarkan
11 S. Larsson
22 J. Bijlow
20 R. Tapia
21 N. Marsman
38 L. Geertruida
33 Eric Botteghin
8 L. Kelly

Coach: J. Stam

Heracles

4-2-3-1
1 J. Blaswich G
6 D. Van den Buijs D
13 M. Knoester D
19 N. Bakboord D
3 L. Czyborra D
52 A. Merkel M
10 Mauro Júnior M
22 O. Kiomourtzoglou M
24 D. dos Santos M
9 C. Dessers F
25 J. Konings M
Bench (8)
21 S. Jakubiak
7 J. Cijntje
2 T. Breukers
15 L. Schoofs
34 J. Hardeveld
17 A. Szöke
16 M. Brouwer
8 T. Bijleveld

Coach: F. Wormuth

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,42
U ✓
4,92
B
6,61
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,39
U2,5 ✓
2,92
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jeroen Manschot · 94 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.