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Eredivisie

Referee: D Higler

Heerenveen

S U T S S

0–3

Full-time

AZ Alkmaar

U U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen AZ Alkmaar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,7

4,5

Scored

2,3

2,5

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,5

This season — Eredivisie · 7/6 matches

Win Ø 44%

71%

17%

Points per game

2,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

57%

83%

Both score Ø 70%

57%

83%

Average goals

3,4

4,5

Scored

2,3

2,5

Conceded

1,1

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,1

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

38% Possession 62%

9 Shots 15

1 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 0

3 Corners 10

0 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heerenveen 6. · AZ Alkmaar 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	8	7	0	1	+27	21
2	Vitesse	8	7	0	1	+12	21
3	Twente	8	5	2	1	+12	17
4	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	+10	17
5	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	+11	16
6	Heerenveen	7	5	1	1	+8	16
7	Groningen	8	4	1	3	-1	13
8	Utrecht	7	2	3	2	-3	9
9	AZ Alkmaar	6	1	5	0	+3	8
10	Heracles	8	2	2	4	-4	8
11	VVV Venlo	8	2	2	4	-13	8
12	Zwolle	8	1	4	3	-5	7
13	Willem II	7	1	2	4	-6	5
14	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	-8	5
15	Waalwijk	8	1	2	5	-10	5
16	Den Haag	8	1	1	6	-12	4
17	FC Emmen	8	0	3	5	-10	3
18	For Sittard	8	0	3	5	-11	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Vitesse	4	4	0	0	+8	12
3	Twente	4	3	1	0	+8	10
4	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+7	9
5	Heerenveen	3	3	0	0	+7	9
6	Heracles	4	2	1	1	+4	7
7	Feyenoord	3	2	1	0	+4	7
8	Utrecht	4	2	1	1	+0	7
9	Groningen	4	2	1	1	+0	7
10	AZ Alkmaar	3	1	2	0	+3	5
11	Zwolle	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	VVV Venlo	4	1	1	2	-13	4
13	Willem II	4	1	0	3	-4	3
14	FC Emmen	4	0	2	2	-3	2
15	Waalwijk	4	0	2	2	-3	2
16	For Sittard	4	0	2	2	-4	2
17	Sparta Rotterdam	4	0	2	2	-4	2
18	Den Haag	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	Ajax	4	3	0	1	+16	9
3	Vitesse	4	3	0	1	+4	9
4	Twente	4	2	1	1	+4	7
5	PSV Eindhoven	4	2	1	1	+4	7
6	Heerenveen	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Groningen	4	2	0	2	-1	6
8	VVV Venlo	4	1	1	2	+0	4
9	AZ Alkmaar	3	0	3	0	+0	3
10	Zwolle	4	0	3	1	-4	3
11	Sparta Rotterdam	3	1	0	2	-4	3
12	Den Haag	4	1	0	3	-7	3
13	Waalwijk	4	1	0	3	-7	3
14	Willem II	3	0	2	1	-2	2
15	Utrecht	3	0	2	1	-3	2
16	For Sittard	4	0	1	3	-7	1
17	FC Emmen	4	0	1	3	-7	1
18	Heracles	4	0	1	3	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.