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Eredivisie

Referee: K Blom

Heracles

T S U S S

0–2

Full-time

Ajax

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles Ajax

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

67%

83%

Points per game

2,2

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,2

3,2

Scored

1,5

2,3

Conceded

0,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,5

This season — Eredivisie · 21/20 matches

Win Ø 59%

38%

80%

Points per game

1,3

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

48%

80%

Both score Ø 44%

38%

50%

Average goals

2,6

4,1

Scored

1,1

3,3

Conceded

1,4

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+2,6

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

45% Possession 55%

14 Shots 7

2 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 2

0 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heracles 9. · Ajax 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	20	16	2	2	+51	50
2	PSV Eindhoven	22	14	5	3	+27	47
3	Vitesse	21	13	3	5	+15	42
4	AZ Alkmaar	21	11	7	3	+14	40
5	Feyenoord	18	11	3	4	+17	36
6	Groningen	20	11	3	6	+6	36
7	Twente	21	8	6	7	+5	30
8	Heerenveen	21	7	8	6	+2	29
9	Heracles	21	8	4	9	-6	28
10	For Sittard	22	8	4	10	-8	28
11	Utrecht	18	6	8	4	+0	26
12	Zwolle	22	4	11	7	-8	23
13	Sparta Rotterdam	20	6	4	10	-4	22
14	VVV Venlo	20	6	4	10	-15	22
15	Waalwijk	22	4	7	11	-16	19
16	Willem II	20	3	4	13	-18	13
17	Den Haag	21	2	7	12	-28	13
18	FC Emmen	22	0	6	16	-34	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	10	9	0	1	+18	27
2	Vitesse	10	8	2	0	+13	26
3	Ajax	10	8	1	1	+22	25
4	Groningen	11	6	3	2	+6	21
5	Feyenoord	8	5	2	1	+9	17
6	Heerenveen	10	5	2	3	+5	17
7	AZ Alkmaar	10	5	2	3	+4	17
8	Utrecht	10	4	5	1	+3	17
9	Heracles	10	5	1	4	+6	16
10	Twente	11	3	3	5	-1	12
11	Zwolle	11	2	6	3	-2	12
12	VVV Venlo	10	3	3	4	-13	12
13	For Sittard	11	3	2	6	-6	11
14	Willem II	10	3	1	6	-6	10
15	Waalwijk	11	2	4	5	-6	10
16	Sparta Rotterdam	11	2	3	6	-3	9
17	Den Haag	11	0	5	6	-12	5
18	FC Emmen	11	0	3	8	-18	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	10	8	1	1	+29	25
2	AZ Alkmaar	11	6	5	0	+10	23
3	PSV Eindhoven	12	5	5	2	+9	20
4	Feyenoord	10	6	1	3	+8	19
5	Twente	10	5	3	2	+6	18
6	For Sittard	11	5	2	4	-2	17
7	Vitesse	11	5	1	5	+2	16
8	Groningen	9	5	0	4	+0	15
9	Sparta Rotterdam	9	4	1	4	-1	13
10	Heerenveen	11	2	6	3	-3	12
11	Heracles	11	3	3	5	-12	12
12	Zwolle	11	2	5	4	-6	11
13	VVV Venlo	10	3	1	6	-2	10
14	Utrecht	8	2	3	3	-3	9
15	Waalwijk	11	2	3	6	-10	9
16	Den Haag	10	2	2	6	-16	8
17	Willem II	10	0	3	7	-12	3
18	FC Emmen	11	0	3	8	-16	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.