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Eredivisie
Referee: B Kuipers
Zwolle
T T S U U
1–1
Full-time
Waalwijk
U U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle Waalwijk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 18%
20%
15%
Points per game
1,1
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
50%
40%
Both score Ø 55%
55%
55%
Average goals
2,9
2,6
Scored
1,3
0,9
Conceded
1,6
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

67% Possession 33%
19 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
6 Corners 1
2 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zwolle 13. · Waalwijk 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 20 16 2 2 +51 50
2 PSV Eindhoven 20 13 4 3 +24 43
3 Vitesse 20 13 3 4 +16 42
4 AZ Alkmaar 20 10 7 3 +13 37
5 Feyenoord 18 11 3 4 +17 36
6 Groningen 19 10 3 6 +5 33
7 Twente 20 8 6 6 +8 30
8 Heracles 21 8 4 9 -6 28
9 Heerenveen 20 6 8 6 +1 26
10 Utrecht 18 6 8 4 +0 26
11 For Sittard 21 7 4 10 -9 25
12 Sparta Rotterdam 19 6 4 9 -3 22
13 Zwolle 20 4 10 6 -7 22
14 VVV Venlo 20 6 4 10 -15 22
15 Waalwijk 20 3 6 11 -17 15
16 Willem II 20 3 4 13 -18 13
17 Den Haag 20 2 6 12 -28 12
18 FC Emmen 20 0 6 14 -32 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zwolle Waalwijk
4′
A. Touba 0–1
Half-time 0–1
M. Saymak 🔁
↦ S. Kersten
46′
62′
🔁 F. Stokkers
↦ S. Sow
I. Pherai 🔁
↦ D. Huiberts
65′
R. Ghoochannejhad 🔁
↦ T. Buitink
65′
1–1 M. Saymak
72′
76′
🔁 O. John
↦ R. van der Venne
85′
🔁 A. Azhil
↦ A. Tahiri
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Zwolle

4-3-3
1 X. Mous G
3 T. Lam D
4 Y. Nakayama D
31 S. van Wermeskerken D
15 S. Kersten D
13 R. Strieder M
22 P. Clement M
30 D. Huiberts M
7 V. Misidjan F
14 M. Benson F
29 T. Buitink F
Bench (12)
6 M. Saymak
25 I. Pherai
8 R. Ghoochannejhad
33 R. van den Berg
16 N. Bertrams
21 S. Lagsir
11 J. Drost
23 E. Reijnders
36 M. Doue
40 M. Hauptmeijer
34 D. Chirino
20 T. van den Belt

Coach: J. Stegeman

Waalwijk

4-3-3
31 K. Lamprou G
59 A. Touba D
3 M. Meulensteen D
34 L. Wouters D
4 V. Anita M
10 R. van der Venne M
8 A. Tahiri M
25 T. Oosting F
21 L. Daneels F
28 S. Bakari D
19 S. Sow F
Bench (11)
9 F. Stokkers
11 O. John
16 A. Azhil
22 M. Grim
1 E. Vaessen
12 H. Mulder
27 D. Min
99 V. Damaşcan
6 N. Olsak
15 L. Nieuwpoort
2 J. Gaari

Coach: F. Grim

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,96
U ✓
3,70
B
3,60
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,79
U2,5 ✓
2,02
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Kuipers · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.