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Eredivisie

Referee: B Kuipers

Ajax

S S S S T

5–1

Full-time

Heerenveen

T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Heerenveen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

This season — Eredivisie · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 75%

75%

Points per game

2,3

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

50%

25%

Both score Ø 38%

25%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,3

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

69% Possession 31%

16 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 0

5 Corners 9

1 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajax 6. · Heerenveen 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Twente	5	3	2	0	+7	11
2	Feyenoord	4	3	1	0	+7	10
3	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Heerenveen	4	3	1	0	+5	10
5	Vitesse	4	3	0	1	+5	9
6	Ajax	4	3	0	1	+4	9
7	Groningen	4	2	0	2	-2	6
8	Utrecht	3	1	2	0	+2	5
9	VVV Venlo	5	1	2	2	+0	5
10	Zwolle	3	1	1	1	+2	4
11	AZ Alkmaar	4	0	4	0	+0	4
12	Willem II	5	1	1	3	-4	4
13	Heracles	5	1	1	3	-6	4
14	Den Haag	4	1	0	3	-4	3
15	Waalwijk	4	1	0	3	-5	3
16	FC Emmen	4	0	2	2	-3	2
17	For Sittard	4	0	1	3	-6	1
18	Sparta Rotterdam	4	0	1	3	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Twente	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Vitesse	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Ajax	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Heerenveen	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Feyenoord	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Utrecht	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Heracles	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Zwolle	2	1	0	1	+2	3
10	Groningen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Willem II	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	AZ Alkmaar	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Sparta Rotterdam	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	VVV Venlo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	FC Emmen	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	For Sittard	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Twente	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	PSV Eindhoven	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Heerenveen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	VVV Venlo	3	1	1	1	+1	4
6	Vitesse	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Ajax	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Groningen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Den Haag	3	1	0	2	-3	3
10	Waalwijk	3	1	0	2	-4	3
11	AZ Alkmaar	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Utrecht	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Zwolle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	FC Emmen	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Willem II	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	For Sittard	2	0	0	2	-4	0
17	Sparta Rotterdam	2	0	0	2	-6	0
18	Heracles	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.