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Eredivisie
Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie
Heerenveen
T T U T U
1–1
Full-time
Zwolle
U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen Zwolle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
5,2
3,3
Scored
2,5
1,7
Conceded
2,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
This season — Eredivisie · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 30%
25%
35%
Points per game
1,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
70%
50%
Both score Ø 60%
75%
45%
Average goals
4,5
3,0
Scored
2,1
1,3
Conceded
2,4
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

45% Possession 55%
8 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 9
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heerenveen 13. · Zwolle 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 20 18 1 1 +58 55
2 Ajax 20 16 2 2 +54 50
3 Feyenoord 20 12 3 5 +16 39
4 AZ Alkmaar 21 11 4 6 +17 37
5 Heracles 19 8 2 9 -7 26
6 VVV Venlo 20 7 5 8 -8 26
7 Utrecht 18 7 4 7 +1 25
8 Willem II 20 7 4 9 -6 25
9 Vitesse 18 6 6 6 +1 24
10 Zwolle 20 7 3 10 -8 24
11 Den Haag 20 6 6 8 -11 24
12 For Sittard 20 6 5 9 -9 23
13 Heerenveen 20 5 7 8 -5 22
14 Excelsior 20 6 4 10 -20 22
15 Groningen 19 6 3 10 -3 21
16 FC Emmen 20 5 6 9 -21 21
17 De Graafschap 20 5 3 12 -24 18
18 NAC Breda 21 4 4 13 -25 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.