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Eredivisie
Referee: I Oostrom
Zwolle
T T S T T
2–1
Full-time
VVV Venlo
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle VVV Venlo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
4,2
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,7
3,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-2,8
This season — Eredivisie · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 21%
19%
23%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
50%
81%
Both score Ø 68%
58%
77%
Average goals
2,9
4,2
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,6
2,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%
19 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 4
8 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
11 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zwolle 13. · VVV Venlo 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 25 20 3 2 +59 63
2 PSV Eindhoven 26 16 7 3 +31 55
3 AZ Alkmaar 26 15 7 4 +23 52
4 Vitesse 26 16 3 7 +17 51
5 Feyenoord 25 13 7 5 +26 46
6 Groningen 26 12 6 8 +3 42
7 Utrecht 24 10 8 6 +7 38
8 Twente 27 9 10 8 +4 37
9 Heracles 26 10 5 11 -9 35
10 Heerenveen 27 8 10 9 -2 34
11 For Sittard 27 10 4 13 -8 34
12 Sparta Rotterdam 25 8 5 12 -5 29
13 Zwolle 26 5 11 10 -9 26
14 Waalwijk 27 6 8 13 -14 26
15 VVV Venlo 26 6 4 16 -32 22
16 Willem II 26 5 6 15 -25 21
17 FC Emmen 27 2 9 16 -32 15
18 Den Haag 26 2 9 15 -34 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zwolle VVV Venlo
I. Pherai 🔁
↦ B. Manuel
20′
Half-time 0–0
S. Tedić 🔁
↦ T. Buitink
46′
Thomas Lam 🟨
51′
60′
🔁 A. Donis
↦ T. Hunte
M. van Duinen 🔁
↦ E. Reijnders
63′
P. Clement 🔁
↦ M. Saymak
63′
1–0 S. Tedić
T. Lam
66′
69′
R. Gelmi 1–1
74′
🔁 W. Essanoussi
↦ D. Post
Immanuel Pherai ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
77′
2–1 T. Lam
79′
81′
🔁 J. Arias
↦ C. Kum
Y. Nakayama 🔁
↦ V. Misidjan
87′
90′
🟨 Giorgos Giakoumakis
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Zwolle

4-3-3
1 X. Mous G
2 B. van Polen D
3 T. Lam D
5 K. Paal D
15 S. Kersten D
6 M. Saymak M
23 E. Reijnders M
30 D. Huiberts M
7 V. Misidjan F
14 B. Manuel F
29 T. Buitink F
Bench (12)
25 I. Pherai
27 S. Tedić
9 M. van Duinen
22 P. Clement
4 Y. Nakayama
11 J. Drost
33 R. van den Berg
17 D. Bajselmani
20 T. van den Belt
8 R. Ghoochannejhad
40 M. Hauptmeijer
16 N. Bertrams

Coach: B. Konterman

VVV Venlo

3-4-1-2
1 T. Kirschbaum G
14 C. Kum D
2 T. Pachonik M
38 L. Guwara M
44 K. Da Graca D
4 R. Gelmi D
6 D. Post M
15 S. Janssen M
27 T. Hunte F
11 G. Giakoumakis F
10 V. van Crooij F
Bench (12)
21 A. Donis
24 W. Essanoussi
25 J. Arias
19 Y. Roemer
17 T. Dekker
12 J. John
22 B. Verbong
26 L. Schmitz
5 S. Schäfer
16 D. van Crooij
3 A. Swinkels
7 G. Hupperts

Coach: J. Luhukay

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,76
U
3,93
B
4,17
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,65
U2,5
2,22
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

I Oostrom · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.