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Eredivisie
Referee: M van den Kerkhof
Twente
U S S S T
2–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Go Ahead Eagles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,2
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,7
0,5
Conceded
1,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,7
This season — Eredivisie · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 41%
55%
27%
Points per game
1,9
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
50%
41%
Both score Ø 52%
59%
45%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

68% Possession 32%
25 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 6
7 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Twente 5. · Go Ahead Eagles 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 23 18 3 2 +65 57
2 PSV Eindhoven 22 16 1 5 +26 49
3 Feyenoord 22 15 3 4 +33 48
4 AZ Alkmaar 21 13 2 6 +16 41
5 Twente 22 12 5 5 +7 41
6 Utrecht 21 10 5 6 +11 35
7 Vitesse 20 10 2 8 -10 32
8 Nijmegen 23 8 7 8 -4 31
9 Cambuur 22 9 3 10 -9 30
10 Groningen 23 6 8 9 -6 26
11 Heerenveen 21 7 4 10 -9 25
12 Heracles 23 6 5 12 -8 23
13 Waalwijk 23 5 8 10 -12 23
14 Go Ahead Eagles 22 6 4 12 -16 22
15 Willem II 23 6 3 14 -21 21
16 For Sittard 22 5 4 13 -26 19
17 Sparta Rotterdam 22 3 8 11 -18 17
18 Zwolle 23 4 5 14 -19 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Twente Go Ahead Eagles
38′
🟨 Luuk Brouwers
Half-time 0–1
46′
I. Lidberg 0–1
P. Rommens
48′
Iñigo Córdoba 0–2
Dimitris Limnios 🟨
54′
Julio Pleguezuelo 🟨
64′
M. Ugalde 🔁
↦ G. Smal
70′
J. Brenet 🔁
↦ G. Troupée
70′
V. Misidjan 🔁
↦ D. Limnios
71′
0–3 J. Kramer
own goal
72′
79′
🔁 B. Lucassen
↦ M. Deijl
81′
🟨 Bas Kuipers
83′
🔁 O. Heil
↦ Iñigo Córdoba
V. Černý 🔁
↦ D. Rots
86′
1–3 J. Brenet
V. Černý
89′
Ricky van Wolfswinkel 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Ragnar Oratmangoen
95′
🔁 J. Idzes
↦ I. Lidberg
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Twente

4-2-3-1
1 L. Unnerstall G
3 R. Pröpper D
4 Julio Pleguezuelo D
2 G. Troupée D
5 G. Smal D
23 M. Sadílek M
18 D. Limnios M
14 M. Vlap M
19 R. Zerrouki M
13 R. van Wolfswinkel F
39 D. Rots M
Bench (11)
27 M. Ugalde
20 J. Brenet
10 V. Misidjan
7 V. Černý
36 L. Everink
40 C. Staring
32 J. Bosch
26 D. Cleonise
38 M. Bruns
22 J. de Lange
30 E. van der Gouw

Coach: R. Jans

Go Ahead Eagles

4-4-2
23 A. Noppert G
15 C. Martina D
3 G. Nauber D
5 B. Kuipers D
4 J. Kramer D
20 M. Deijl M
21 Iñigo Córdoba F
10 P. Rommens M
8 L. Brouwers M
9 I. Lidberg F
11 R. Oratmangoen M
Bench (9)
2 B. Lucassen
19 O. Heil
6 J. Idzes
7 M. Berden
29 Cardona
37 E. Linthorst
16 L. Groenendijk
27 J. Mulenga
31 J. Schuurman

Coach: K. van Wonderen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,73
U ✓
3,75
B
4,78
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,93
U2,5
1,87
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M van den Kerkhof · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.