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Eredivisie
Referee: A Bos
Groningen
U T T T S
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen Go Ahead Eagles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
1,8
Scored
1,2
0,3
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,2
This season — Eredivisie · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 28%
25%
30%
Points per game
1,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
40%
35%
Both score Ø 50%
60%
40%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%
17 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
6 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Groningen 11. · Go Ahead Eagles 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 20 15 3 2 +56 48
2 PSV Eindhoven 21 15 1 5 +21 46
3 Feyenoord 21 14 3 4 +31 45
4 Twente 21 12 5 4 +12 41
5 Utrecht 20 10 5 5 +12 35
6 AZ Alkmaar 19 11 2 6 +12 35
7 Vitesse 19 10 2 7 -5 32
8 Cambuur 21 9 3 9 -8 30
9 Nijmegen 21 7 6 8 -5 27
10 Heerenveen 20 7 4 9 -8 25
11 Groningen 20 5 7 8 -6 22
12 Waalwijk 20 5 7 8 -8 22
13 Go Ahead Eagles 20 6 4 10 -12 22
14 Heracles 20 5 5 10 -5 20
15 Willem II 20 5 3 12 -21 18
16 For Sittard 21 4 4 13 -27 16
17 Sparta Rotterdam 21 2 8 11 -19 14
18 Zwolle 21 3 4 14 -20 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Groningen Go Ahead Eagles
1–0 J. Larsen
B. Meijer
4′
36′
🟨 Bas Kuipers
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 G. Botos
↦ B. Lucassen
60′
G. Botos 1–1
R. Oratmangoen
67′
🔁 Cardona
↦ Iñigo Córdoba
67′
🔁 M. Berden
↦ I. Lidberg
Jørgen Strand Larsen 🟨
69′
2–1 J. Larsen
B. van Hintum
69′
C. Ngonge 🔁
↦ T. Suslov
77′
M. El Hankouri 🔁
↦ P. Abraham
77′
85′
🔁 J. Mulenga
↦ R. Oratmangoen
85′
🔁 F. Ross
↦ P. Rommens
D. van Kaam 🔁
↦ M. de Leeuw
86′
R. Postema 🔁
↦ J. Larsen
89′
M. Šverko 🔁
↦ B. Meijer
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Groningen

4-4-2
1 P. Leeuwenburgh G
3 B. van Hintum D
5 M. te Wierik D
2 D. Dankerlui D
21 N. Kasanwirjo M
40 B. Meijer D
6 L. Duarte M
7 T. Suslov M
8 M. de Leeuw F
9 J. Larsen F
19 P. Abraham M
Bench (11)
27 C. Ngonge
11 M. El Hankouri
26 D. van Kaam
29 R. Postema
20 M. Šverko
15 Y. Kalley
25 J. de Boer
18 M. Bogarde
16 J. Hoekstra
14 E. Matuta
50 T. Blokzijl

Coach: D. Buijs

Go Ahead Eagles

4-2-3-1
23 A. Noppert G
5 B. Kuipers D
4 J. Kramer D
20 M. Deijl D
2 B. Lucassen M
21 Iñigo Córdoba M
10 P. Rommens M
8 L. Brouwers M
6 J. Idzes D
9 I. Lidberg F
11 R. Oratmangoen M
Bench (11)
30 G. Botos
29 Cardona
7 M. Berden
27 J. Mulenga
17 F. Ross
31 J. Schuurman
26 J. Bakker
3 G. Nauber
33 N. Hengelman
15 C. Martina
28 A. Aventisian

Coach: K. van Wonderen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,97
U
3,31
B
4,03
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,21
U2,5
1,67
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Bos · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.