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Eredivisie
Referee: J Kamphuis
Heerenveen
T U U S S
0–0
Full-time
Nijmegen
T T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen Nijmegen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
This season — Eredivisie · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
50%
25%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
50%
25%
Both score Ø 50%
25%
75%
Average goals
1,8
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
0,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

40% Possession 60%
11 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 5
3 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heerenveen 6. · Nijmegen 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 5 5 0 0 +13 15
2 Feyenoord 5 4 1 0 +9 13
3 PSV Eindhoven 5 4 0 1 +16 12
4 Twente 5 4 0 1 +8 12
5 AZ Alkmaar 4 3 1 0 +4 10
6 Heerenveen 4 2 2 0 +5 8
7 Sparta Rotterdam 5 2 1 2 +3 7
8 Waalwijk 5 1 3 1 +2 6
9 Excelsior 5 2 0 3 -8 6
10 Nijmegen 4 1 2 1 +2 5
11 Utrecht 5 1 2 2 -2 5
12 Groningen 4 1 2 1 -4 5
13 Cambuur 5 1 1 3 -4 4
14 FC Emmen 4 1 1 2 -6 4
15 Volendam 5 1 1 3 -12 4
16 Vitesse 4 0 1 3 -9 1
17 Go Ahead Eagles 5 0 0 5 -8 0
18 For Sittard 5 0 0 5 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heerenveen Nijmegen
Half-time 0–0
Tibor Halilović 🟥
62′
Tibor Halilović ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
62′
63′
🔁 I. Cissoko
↦ C. Verdonk
S. Olsson 🔁
↦ S. van Hooijdonk
64′
76′
🔁 J. Bruijn
↦ D. Proper
Thom Haye 🟨
79′
84′
🔁 Pedro Marques
↦ M. Duelund
87′
🟨 Souffian El Karouani
R. Kaib 🔁
↦ M. Köhlert
87′
H. Ali 🔁
↦ T. Haye
88′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Heerenveen

5-3-2
44 A. Noppert G
27 M. van Ewijk D
4 S. van Beek D
5 P. Bochniewicz D
3 J. van Aken D
7 M. Köhlert D
33 T. Haye M
26 A. Tahiri M
10 T. Halilović M
9 A. Sarr F
17 S. van Hooijdonk F
Bench (10)
19 S. Olsson
13 R. Kaib
15 H. Ali
6 S. van Ottele
23 J. Bekkema
22 R. Al Hajj
8 A. Timossi Andersson
34 T. Zaal
29 A. Colassin
1 X. Mous

Coach: K. van Wonderen

Nijmegen

4-3-3
22 J. Cillessen G
28 B. van Rooij D
4 Iván Márquez D
5 J. Kramer D
24 C. Verdonk D
71 D. Proper M
10 M. Duelund M
20 L. Schöne M
7 E. Tavşan F
19 L. Dimata F
16 S. El Karouani F
Bench (9)
21 I. Cissoko
6 J. Bruijn
9 Pedro Marques
1 M. Branderhorst
8 A. Baldursson
34 T. Lartey Sanniez
31 R. Roefs
2 I. Bronkhorst
11 M. Mattsson

Coach: R. Meijer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,95
U ✓
3,59
B
3,77
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,79
U2,5 ✓
2,00
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Kamphuis · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.