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Eredivisie
Referee: B Nijhuis
Utrecht
U U T T S
1–0
Full-time
Vitesse
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Vitesse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,5
4,5
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
2,2
3,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-2,2
This season — Eredivisie · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 20%
20%
20%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
60%
80%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
3,6
4,0
Scored
1,6
1,2
Conceded
2,0
2,8
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
12 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Corners 10
0 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 3
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Utrecht 11. · Vitesse 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 6 6 0 0 +18 18
2 Feyenoord 5 4 1 0 +9 13
3 AZ Alkmaar 5 4 1 0 +7 13
4 PSV Eindhoven 5 4 0 1 +16 12
5 Twente 5 4 0 1 +8 12
6 Heerenveen 6 2 3 1 +0 9
7 Excelsior 6 3 0 3 -7 9
8 Sparta Rotterdam 5 2 1 2 +3 7
9 Nijmegen 6 1 4 1 +2 7
10 Waalwijk 5 1 3 1 +2 6
11 Utrecht 5 1 2 2 -2 5
12 Groningen 5 1 2 2 -5 5
13 Cambuur 5 1 1 3 -4 4
14 Vitesse 5 1 1 3 -8 4
15 FC Emmen 6 1 1 4 -10 4
16 Volendam 6 1 1 4 -13 4
17 Go Ahead Eagles 6 1 0 5 -7 3
18 For Sittard 6 0 1 5 -9 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Utrecht Vitesse
Half-time 0–0
S. Klaiber 🔁
↦ H. ter Avest
46′
C. Bozdoğan 🔁
↦ L. Brouwers
46′
56′
🔁 M. Manhoef
↦ K. Kozłowski
56′
🔁 M. Sankoh
↦ G. Vidović
D. Warmerdam 🔁
↦ D. van der Kust
78′
R. Kluivert 🔁
↦ M. Sagnan
78′
79′
🟨 Maximilian Wittek
1–0 B. Dost
84′
S. van de Streek 🔁
↦ O. Boussaid
85′
86′
🔁 N. Frederiksen
↦ E. Cornelisse
89′
🔁 Ferro
↦ S. Tronstad
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Utrecht

4-4-2
1 V. Barkas G
5 H. ter Avest D
2 M. van der Maarel D
27 M. Sagnan D
15 D. van der Kust D
29 M. Sylla M
18 J. Toornstra M
8 L. Brouwers M
26 O. Boussaid M
28 B. Dost F
9 T. Douvikas F
Bench (12)
17 S. Klaiber
6 C. Bozdoğan
21 D. Warmerdam
25 R. Kluivert
22 S. van de Streek
32 C. Raatsie
10 T. Booth
7 D. Redan
16 F. de Keijzer
19 A. Lottin
38 R. Shein
30 N. Maeda

Coach: H. Fraser

Vitesse

5-4-1
16 K. Scherpen G
2 C. Arcus D
3 R. Flamingo D
20 M. Meulensteen D
13 E. Cornelisse D
32 M. Wittek D
21 M. Bero M
8 S. Tronstad M
17 K. Kozłowski M
10 G. Vidović M
14 B. Białek F
Bench (10)
42 M. Manhoef
9 M. Sankoh
11 N. Frederiksen
5 Ferro
24 J. Houwen
18 T. Hájek
29 T. Buitink
33 D. Reiziger
22 T. Domgjoni
27 R. Yapi

Coach: T. Letsch

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,91
U
3,77
B
3,74
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,63
U2,5 ✓
2,25
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Nijhuis · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.