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Eredivisie
Referee: A Lindhout
Nijmegen
S T T T U
3–4
Full-time
Excelsior
U T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nijmegen Excelsior
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
2,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

0,81 xG 1,28
49% Possession 51%
8 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 7
0 Offside 1
4 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Feb -23 Excelsior – Nijmegen 0–3 8. Oct -22 Nijmegen – Excelsior 1–1 22. Apr -17 Nijmegen – Excelsior 0–1 18. Dec -16 Excelsior – Nijmegen 2–2 26. Feb -16 Excelsior – Nijmegen 2–0

Match report

Nijmegen Excelsior
12′
⚽ N. Agrafiotis 0–1
C. Driouech
1–1 Y. Baas ⚽
B. van Rooij
36′
2–1 S. Hansen ⚽
M. Mattsson
44′
Half-time 2–2
53′
⚽ C. Widell 2–2
L. Lamprou
E. Tavşan 🔁
↦ S. Hansen
54′
3–2 K. Ogawa ⚽
L. Schöne
60′
61′
🔁 R. Omorowa
↦ N. Agrafiotis
61′
🔁 D. Sanches Fernandes
↦ L. Lamprou
Róber 🔁
↦ M. Hoedemakers
64′
Pedro Marques 🔁
↦ K. Ogawa
65′
73′
⚽ R. Omorowa 3–3
A. Zagré
Pedro Marques 🟨
83′
84′
🟨 Serano Seymor
B. Pereira 🔁
↦ E. Tavşan
85′
90′
🔁 S. Nieuwpoort
↦ S. Seymor
94′
🔁 O. Uddenäs
↦ C. Driouech
99′
🟨 Julian Baas
100′
⚽ 0 O. Uddenäs 3–4
R. Omorowa
Full-time 3–4

Line-ups

Nijmegen

4-2-3-1
1 J. Cillessen G
28 B. van Rooij D
24 C. Verdonk D
17 B. Nuytinck D
5 Y. Baas D
6 M. Hoedemakers M
20 L. Schöne M
10 S. Hansen M
8 M. Mattsson M
14 L. Olden Larsen M
18 K. Ogawa F
Bench (10)
7 E. Tavşan
11 Róber
9 Pedro Marques
2 B. Pereira
30 D. Maas
22 R. Roefs
33 S. Sönmez
32 N. Rossen
31 R. Janse
4 M. Ross

Coach: R. Meijer

Excelsior

4-3-3
1 S. van Gassel G
2 S. Horemans D
5 C. Widell D
34 S. Seymor D
12 A. Zagré D
20 L. Hartjes M
4 R. El Yaakoubi M
33 J. Baas M
14 C. Driouech F
19 N. Agrafiotis F
7 L. Lamprou F
Bench (9)
17 R. Omorowa
30 D. Sanches Fernandes
16 S. Nieuwpoort
11 O. Uddenäs
22 M. Benita
38 P. Kuiper
18 N. Alblas
29 M. van Duinen
15 N. Naujoks

Coach: M. Dijkhuizen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,51
🔒
U
4,49
🔒
B ✓
5,79
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,55
🔒
U2,5
2,40
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Lindhout · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.