Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

Eredivisie

Referee: J Kamphuis

AZ Alkmaar

S U S S S

3–0

Full-time

Heerenveen

T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Heerenveen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,2

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,3

3,7

Scored

2,3

0,8

Conceded

1,0

2,8

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-2,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 57%

88%

25%

Points per game

2,8

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

63%

Both score Ø 57%

50%

63%

Average goals

3,3

3,5

Scored

2,8

1,3

Conceded

0,5

2,3

Goal diff per game

+2,3

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,41 xG 0,37

59% Possession 41%

11 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

6 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

3 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 2. · Heerenveen 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	9	9	0	0	+27	+20.3	27
2	AZ Alkmaar	8	7	1	0	+18	+9.6	22
3	Twente	8	7	0	1	+13	+6.6	21
4	Feyenoord	8	6	2	0	+22	+17.6	20
5	Excelsior	8	3	4	1	+3	-1.9	13
6	Go Ahead Eagles	8	4	1	3	+2	-8.0	13
7	Sparta Rotterdam	8	3	2	3	-3	-4.5	11
8	Heracles	8	3	2	3	-5	-3.8	11
9	Nijmegen	9	2	3	4	-2	-6.8	9
10	Waalwijk	8	3	0	5	-8	-1.5	9
11	For Sittard	9	2	3	4	-9	-1.6	9
12	Almere City	9	2	2	5	-11	-4.1	8
13	Vitesse	8	2	1	5	-5	-3.4	7
14	Zwolle	8	2	1	5	-7	+0.1	7
15	Heerenveen	8	2	1	5	-8	-5.1	7
16	Ajax	6	1	2	3	-4	-2.6	5
17	Volendam	8	1	1	6	-10	-2.8	4
18	Utrecht	8	1	0	7	-13	-8.1	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	5	5	0	0	+13	+12.3	15
2	Go Ahead Eagles	4	4	0	0	+11	+2.1	12
3	Twente	4	4	0	0	+6	+2.6	12
4	Feyenoord	4	3	1	0	+12	+9.0	10
5	AZ Alkmaar	4	3	1	0	+10	+7.0	10
6	Heracles	4	3	0	1	+2	+1.3	9
7	Nijmegen	5	2	1	2	+3	+1.0	7
8	For Sittard	4	2	1	1	+0	+2.2	7
9	Excelsior	4	1	3	0	+1	-1.2	6
10	Waalwijk	4	2	0	2	-4	-1.3	6
11	Sparta Rotterdam	4	1	2	1	-3	-2.5	5
12	Volendam	4	1	1	2	-2	+1.1	4
13	Heerenveen	4	1	1	2	-3	+0.2	4
14	Zwolle	5	1	1	3	-5	+0.9	4
15	Ajax	3	1	0	2	-2	-1.2	3
16	Almere City	4	1	0	3	-7	-2.5	3
17	Vitesse	4	0	1	3	-6	-2.5	1
18	Utrecht	3	0	0	3	-8	-4.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	4	4	0	0	+14	+8.0	12
2	AZ Alkmaar	4	4	0	0	+8	+2.6	12
3	Feyenoord	4	3	1	0	+10	+8.7	10
4	Twente	4	3	0	1	+7	+4.0	9
5	Excelsior	4	2	1	1	+2	-0.7	7
6	Vitesse	4	2	0	2	+1	-0.9	6
7	Sparta Rotterdam	4	2	0	2	+0	-2.0	6
8	Almere City	5	1	2	2	-4	-1.6	5
9	Zwolle	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.9	3
10	Waalwijk	4	1	0	3	-4	-0.2	3
11	Heerenveen	4	1	0	3	-5	-5.3	3
12	Utrecht	5	1	0	4	-5	-3.6	3
13	Ajax	3	0	2	1	-2	-1.4	2
14	Nijmegen	4	0	2	2	-5	-7.9	2
15	Heracles	4	0	2	2	-7	-5.1	2
16	For Sittard	5	0	2	3	-9	-3.8	2
17	Go Ahead Eagles	4	0	1	3	-9	-10.1	1
18	Volendam	4	0	0	4	-8	-3.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.