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Eredivisie
Referee: M van den Kerkhof
Almere City
T T U T T
0–1
Full-time
AZ Alkmaar
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almere City AZ Alkmaar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,5
4,3
Scored
1,0
2,5
Conceded
2,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,44 xG 0,86
44% Possession 56%
7 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 8
3 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
2 Red cards 1

Match report

Almere City AZ Alkmaar
4′
I. Sadiq 0–1
18′
🟥 Maxim Dekker
Baptiste Guillaume 🟥
34′
Half-time 0–1
Stije Resink 🟨
49′
57′
🔁 E. Poku
↦ I. Sadiq
F. Mattoir 🔁
↦ S. Resink
59′
H. Akujobi 🔁
↦ J. Jacobs
59′
73′
🔁 L. Zeefuik
↦ T. Parrott
Ricardo Visus 🟥
79′
C. Mamengi 🔁
↦ J. Ritmeester van de Kamp
81′
A. Nalić 🔁
↦ K. Hansen
81′
86′
🟨 Lequincio Zeefuik
G. Beaumont 🔁
↦ Álex Balboa
86′
89′
🟨 Seiya Maikuma
89′
🔁 R. van Bommel
↦ M. van Brederode
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Almere City

4-3-3
1 N. Bakker G
2 S. Floranus D
3 J. Jacobs D
4 Visus D
14 V. Zagaritis D
5 J. Ritmeester van de Kamp M
23 Álex Balboa M
8 S. Resink M
9 T. Robinet F
21 B. Guillaume F
17 K. Hansen F
Bench (11)
24 F. Mattoir
20 H. Akujobi
25 C. Mamengi
16 A. Nalić
36 G. Beaumont
39 E. Poku
37 J. Puriël
31 J. van der Wilt
27 L. Delaurier-Chaubet
34 J. Pinas
29 J. Wendlinger

Coach: H. Maduro

AZ Alkmaar

4-2-3-1
41 J. Zoet G
16 S. Maikuma D
3 W. Goes D
22 M. Dekker D
18 D. Møller Wolfe D
8 J. Clasie M
6 P. Koopmeiners M
11 I. Sadiq M
10 S. Mijnans M
19 M. van Brederode M
9 T. Parrott F
Bench (11)
21 E. Poku
28 L. Zeefuik
7 R. van Bommel
27 Z. Buurmeester
30 D. Kasius
14 K. Belić
12 H. Verhulst
31 D. Deen
5 Alexandre Penetra
17 J. Addai
25 R. Bazoer

Coach: M. Martens

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,37
U
4,18
B ✓
1,58
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,69
U2,5 ✓
2,13
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M van den Kerkhof · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.