Eredivisie
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Heracles
Feyenoord
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–4
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +15 | +9.8 | 22 |
| 2 |
Feyenoord
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | +12 | +11.0 | 22 |
| 3 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +7 | +7.7 | 18 |
| 4 |
Ajax
|
9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +5 | +4.3 | 16 |
| 5 |
Groningen
|
9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | +1 | +1.1 | 15 |
| 6 |
Nijmegen
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +8 | +5.7 | 14 |
| 7 |
Twente
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +3 | +8.9 | 14 |
| 8 |
For Sittard
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +0 | -4.5 | 13 |
| 9 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -9 | -4.5 | 13 |
| 10 |
Utrecht
|
8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | +7 | +0.5 | 12 |
| 11 |
Heerenveen
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +0 | +7.7 | 11 |
| 12 |
Go Ahead Eagles
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1 | -3.8 | 10 |
| 13 |
Excelsior
|
9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -9 | -7.3 | 9 |
| 14 |
NAC Breda
|
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -6 | -5.7 | 8 |
| 15 |
Zwolle
|
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -8 | -8.1 | 8 |
| 16 |
Telstar
|
9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -6 | -4.3 | 7 |
| 17 |
Volendam
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -6 | -6.7 | 7 |
| 18 |
Heracles
|
8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -13 | -11.9 | 3 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
I. Mesik
D
J. Zamburek
M
J. Hornkamp
F
Coach: Bas Sibum
G. Read
D
A. Ahmedhodzic
D
S. Steijn
M
O. Targhalline
M
L. Valente
M
A. Hadj Moussa
F
A. Ueda
F
L. Sauer
F
Coach: Robin van Persie
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Twente
Heracles
Heracles
Sparta Rotterdam
NAC Breda
Heracles
Heracles
AZ Alkmaar
Groningen
Heracles
Rob Dieperink · 20 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.