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Serie B

Referee: Simone Galipo

Catanzaro

U U U U T

0–1

Full-time

Padova

T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Catanzaro Padova

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,0

This season — Serie B · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 15%

29%

Points per game

0,9

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

43%

57%

Both score Ø 64%

71%

57%

Average goals

2,1

2,3

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,1

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%

19 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 4

2 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Catanzaro 15. · Padova 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Modena	8	5	3	0	+10	18
2	Palermo	8	4	4	0	+6	16
3	Frosinone	8	4	2	2	+5	14
4	Cesena	8	4	2	2	+2	14
5	Monza	8	4	2	2	+2	14
6	Venezia	8	3	4	1	+5	13
7	Juve Stabia	8	3	4	1	+2	13
8	Reggiana	8	3	3	2	+2	12
9	Avellino	8	3	3	2	+0	12
10	Carrarese	8	2	5	1	+4	11
11	Sudtirol	8	2	4	2	+1	10
12	Empoli	8	2	4	2	-3	10
13	Virtus Entella	8	2	3	3	-2	9
14	Padova	7	2	2	3	-2	8
15	Catanzaro	7	0	6	1	-1	6
16	Pescara	8	1	3	4	-3	6
17	Bari	8	1	3	4	-7	6
18	Sampdoria	8	1	2	5	-5	5
19	Mantova	8	1	2	5	-8	5
20	Spezia	8	0	3	5	-8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Modena	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	Venezia	4	3	0	1	+5	9
3	Palermo	5	2	3	0	+3	9
4	Monza	4	3	0	1	+2	9
5	Reggiana	4	2	2	0	+4	8
6	Virtus Entella	4	2	2	0	+3	8
7	Juve Stabia	4	2	2	0	+3	8
8	Frosinone	4	2	1	1	+3	7
9	Avellino	3	2	1	0	+3	7
10	Empoli	5	1	4	0	+2	7
11	Pescara	5	1	3	1	+2	6
12	Sudtirol	4	2	0	2	+1	6
13	Carrarese	4	1	2	1	+2	5
14	Bari	3	1	2	0	+1	5
15	Sampdoria	4	1	1	2	+0	4
16	Padova	3	1	1	1	+0	4
17	Mantova	4	1	1	2	-5	4
18	Catanzaro	3	0	3	0	+0	3
19	Cesena	3	0	2	1	-1	2
20	Spezia	5	0	1	4	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cesena	5	4	0	1	+3	12
2	Modena	4	2	2	0	+4	8
3	Palermo	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Frosinone	4	2	1	1	+2	7
5	Carrarese	4	1	3	0	+2	6
6	Monza	4	1	2	1	+0	5
7	Juve Stabia	4	1	2	1	-1	5
8	Avellino	5	1	2	2	-3	5
9	Sudtirol	4	0	4	0	+0	4
10	Venezia	4	0	4	0	+0	4
11	Reggiana	4	1	1	2	-2	4
12	Padova	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Catanzaro	4	0	3	1	-1	3
14	Empoli	3	1	0	2	-5	3
15	Spezia	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Mantova	4	0	1	3	-3	1
17	Sampdoria	4	0	1	3	-5	1
18	Virtus Entella	4	0	1	3	-5	1
19	Bari	5	0	1	4	-8	1
20	Pescara	3	0	0	3	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.